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金发科技(600143):2025年半年度业绩预增点评:上半年业绩同比大幅预增44.82%-71.15%

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a significant year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with estimates ranging from 5.50 billion to 6.50 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 44.82% to 71.15% [4][2]. - The modified plastics business is performing well, with increased market share and sales in sectors such as automotive, electronics, and new energy, driven by new product development and optimization of product structure [2][4]. - The green petrochemical segment is enhancing synergy with the modified plastics sector, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements through technological upgrades [2][4]. - The new materials segment is benefiting from the rising demand for self-controlled domestic supply chains, with significant growth in sales and gross profit from specialty engineering plastics [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of 5.01 billion to 6.01 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, indicating a year-on-year increase of 43.48% to 72.12% [2]. - For Q2 2025, the expected net profit is between 3.03 billion and 4.03 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.78% to 46.01% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.67% to 63.16% [2][4]. Business Segments - The modified plastics segment is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with a focus on expanding into new markets and achieving strategic goals [2]. - The green petrochemical business is set to optimize its product structure and improve operational efficiency [2]. - The new materials segment has initiated a project for specialty polyamide production, expected to commence in March 2026, laying a solid foundation for future growth [2][4]. Earnings Forecast - The forecast for total revenue in 2025 is approximately 76.78 billion yuan, with a net profit of around 1.4 billion yuan, translating to a basic earnings per share of 0.53 yuan [5][4].