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安踏体育(02020):2025二季度营运情况点评:流水表现符合预期,维持全年指引
NORTHEAST SECURITIES·2025-07-16 06:16

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][11]. Core Views - The company's Q2 performance met expectations, with a focus on further developing its outdoor brand portfolio and maintaining a multi-brand, global strategy [3]. - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth of 10.9% in 2025, 9.5% in 2026, and 8.7% in 2027, reaching revenues of 785.3 billion, 860.1 billion, and 934.5 billion respectively [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to decline by 15.8% in 2025, followed by growth of 11.6% in 2026 and 10.3% in 2027, amounting to 131.3 billion, 146.6 billion, and 161.6 billion respectively [3]. Summary by Sections Company Performance - Anta's main brand experienced low single-digit growth in Q2 2025, while FILA brand revenue grew in the mid-single digits. Other brands saw significant growth, with retail revenue increasing by 50-55% [1][2]. - The company has adjusted its franchise store operations and enhanced its e-commerce structure to improve efficiency [1]. Brand Analysis - FILA's performance was stable, with notable growth in children's and trendy lines after adjustments made in 2024. The brand is expanding into professional sports and outdoor products [2]. - Other brands like Descente and Kolon Sports reported over 40% and 70% revenue growth respectively, indicating strong performance in the women's sports segment [2]. Acquisition Impact - The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin for $290 million is expected to enhance the company's outdoor market presence and support international expansion [2]. Financial Projections - The financial summary indicates a revenue increase from 62.36 billion in 2023 to 78.53 billion in 2025, with a projected net profit of 13.13 billion in 2025 [4][3]. - The report outlines a decrease in net profit margin from 34.86% in 2024 to 17.53% in 2025, reflecting anticipated challenges [4]. Market Data - The company's stock closed at HKD 89.80, with a 12-month price range of HKD 65.90 to HKD 106.30, and a market capitalization of HKD 252.09 billion [5].