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合康新能(300048):美的赋能,聚焦能源,踏浪前行

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company with a 12-month target price of 7.61 CNY, while the current stock price is 6.21 CNY [5]. Core Insights - The company has undergone multiple rounds of business integration, focusing on renewable energy and frequency converter businesses, achieving profitability in 2024 with a revenue of 3.915 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 512.04%, accounting for 81.98% of total revenue [1][9]. - The company is backed by Midea Group, which is expected to empower its renewable energy business for rapid development, particularly in household energy storage and photovoltaic inverter sectors [2][49]. - The company is seizing opportunities in the renewable energy market, with a focus on virtual power plants, which are expected to thrive under new market pricing mechanisms [3][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Focus on Renewable Energy and Frequency Converters - The company has strategically divested from inefficient assets to concentrate on renewable energy and frequency converter businesses, establishing itself as a high-tech enterprise in these fields [15]. - The renewable energy segment has become the primary revenue driver, contributing over 80% of total revenue, with significant growth in photovoltaic EPC projects [21][22]. 2. Photovoltaic EPC + Household Storage + Photovoltaic Inverters - The global demand for household energy storage has surged, with a cumulative installed capacity of 51 GWh in 2024, a 48% year-on-year increase [36]. - The company has developed self-researched products for household storage and photovoltaic inverters, targeting international markets and obtaining high-level safety certifications [49][50]. 3. In-depth Analysis of the Company - The company has maintained a strong position in the high-voltage frequency converter market, achieving a revenue of 645 million CNY in 2024, despite it only accounting for 13.5% of total revenue [22]. - The company has successfully turned around its profitability in 2024, with a net profit of 10 million CNY, driven by the growth of its photovoltaic EPC business and effective cost management [26][29]. 4. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 6.5 billion CNY, 8.375 billion CNY, and 9.76 billion CNY, with corresponding growth rates of 36.09%, 28.84%, and 16.55% [9][10].