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甘肃容量电价新政点评:市场化以需定价,提高容量电价标准和覆盖面
Xinda Securities·2025-07-16 07:58

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The new capacity pricing policy in Gansu Province significantly raises the coal power capacity price standard to 330 CNY/kW·year, exceeding market expectations and providing a two-year implementation period [3][4] - The policy expands the coverage of capacity pricing to include various power generation types such as energy storage, hydropower, wind, and solar, with different capacity coefficients based on their contributions to grid capacity [4][6] - Gansu's capacity pricing reform is expected to lead the direction of electricity market reform in China, with the potential for a nationwide adjustment in capacity pricing, benefiting coal power companies [5][7] Summary by Sections Section 1: Policy Highlights - The Gansu capacity pricing policy introduces a significant increase in the coal power capacity price standard, with a planned increase to no less than 165 CNY/kW·year by 2026 [3] - The policy creatively includes various power generation types in the compensation scope, determining capacity fees based on their effective capacity contributions [4] Section 2: Market Impact - The new policy is seen as a major breakthrough, potentially accelerating the transformation of coal power functions amid the rapid growth of renewable energy installations during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [5] - The market-oriented approach to capacity pricing is expected to yield higher compensation levels by 2026, reflecting actual supply and demand dynamics [6] Section 3: Investment Recommendations - Gansu is positioned as a leader in national electricity market reform, with the potential for value reassessment of coal power companies due to the unexpected increase in capacity pricing [7] - Key beneficiaries include Gansu Energy and Huaneng International, with other coal power companies encouraged to follow Gansu's model [7]