高盛：中国观察-关于香港 IPO 复苏的常见问题

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for Hong Kong's IPO market, suggesting potential investment opportunities in newly listed companies and sectors with high demand [2][3]. Core Insights - Hong Kong's IPO market has seen a resurgence with 51 companies listed year-to-date, raising HK$124 billion, compared to 77 listings raising HK$88 billion in 2024 [3][4]. - The increase in IPO activity is attributed to a robust market rally, a slowdown in A-share IPOs, and more accommodating listing rules by HKEX [2][4]. - Cornerstone investors contributed 42% of the capital raised in IPOs, with two-thirds coming from foreign investors, indicating strong international interest [42][43]. - Newly listed companies in 2024/25 have shown significantly higher post-IPO returns compared to previous years, driven by substantial cornerstone investor ownership and growth potential [52][53]. Summary by Sections 1. IPO Market Activity - The resurgence in Hong Kong's IPO market is driven by improved market performance, with HSI and HSTECH gaining 20% and 17% year-to-date [4][26]. - The IPO pipeline remains strong, with over 200 companies in the application process [3][4]. 2. Dual Listings - A-share companies are pursuing dual listings in Hong Kong to access overseas financing and mitigate delisting risks, with regulatory support encouraging this trend [8][10]. - Approximately 80% of US institutional investors in ADRs already have exposure to the Hong Kong market, facilitating smoother transitions for companies [10][12]. 3. Investor Participation - The participation of cornerstone investors has been significant, with their ownership ranging from under 10% to over 80% in recent IPOs [42][43]. - Retail interest in IPOs has reached a multi-year high, reflecting improved risk appetite among investors [47][49]. 4. Post-IPO Performance - Newly listed companies in 2024/25 have delivered an average return of 10% on the first trading day and 41% within the first three months [52][56]. - Companies with cornerstone investor ownership between 30% and 50% tend to outperform, highlighting the importance of investor confidence [53][57]. 5. Spillover Effects - Active IPOs in Hong Kong positively influence A-share market performance, with sectors experiencing new listings generally seeing their peers outperform [63][64]. - The correlation between robust IPO activity and favorable performance in A-share markets suggests a beneficial spillover effect [63][64]. 6. Index Inclusion and Liquidity - New listings that meet specific criteria are eligible for fast-track index inclusion, potentially attracting significant passive investment [66][67]. - Southbound inclusion allows Hong Kong-listed companies to access onshore liquidity, enhancing their market appeal [67][72].