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上半年进出口数据点评:部分产品出口价格有所改善
Bank of China Securities·2025-07-17 01:43

Export and Import Performance - In the first half of the year, China's exports grew by 5.9% year-on-year in USD terms, while imports declined by 3.9%, resulting in a trade surplus of $585.96 billion[2] - In June, exports increased by 5.8% year-on-year, with imports turning positive at a growth rate of 1.1%, leading to a trade surplus of $114.77 billion[2] - ASEAN and EU continued to support China's export growth, contributing 2.7 and 1.1 percentage points to the June export growth, respectively[2] Product-Specific Insights - Electrical and mechanical products maintained export advantages, with integrated circuits and general machinery growing by 18.9% and 7.0% year-on-year, respectively[4] - Some light industrial products saw improvements in export prices, with declines in prices for household ceramics and footwear narrowing by 7.0 and 1.8 percentage points, respectively[4] - The automotive sector continued to show positive growth despite high export baselines in recent years[4] Economic Risks - There is an increasing risk of economic recession in Europe and the US, alongside a complex international situation that could impact trade dynamics[3]