宏观深度报告：寻找内需增量，发挥最低工资的“灯塔效应”

Group 1: Minimum Wage Impact - The minimum wage system can enhance residents' income through a "lighthouse effect," benefiting both low-income and higher-income groups, thus promoting income growth for the middle class and reducing poverty[4] - During the "12th Five-Year Plan" period (2011-2015), the average annual growth rate of minimum wage reached approximately 13%, coinciding with a 2.7 percentage point increase in labor compensation's share of GDP[4] - After 2015, the growth rate of minimum wage slowed to about 3.3% annually, leading to a decrease in labor compensation's share of GDP from 35.9% in 2015 to 29.3% in 2020[13] Group 2: Policy Recommendations - To stimulate consumption and counteract "involution," adjusting minimum wage is a key strategy, with several regions raising minimum wage by 7.6% to 14.2% in 2025[39] - Setting a minimum wage growth target above economic growth rates is recommended, aiming for a ratio of minimum wage to average wage and per capita GDP to reach around 50%[41] - Implementing a differentiated minimum wage system based on industry, occupation, and skill levels can better reflect the value of different jobs and attract talent[41] Group 3: International Comparisons - Globally, 90% of countries have established minimum wage systems, with 52% using a single minimum wage and 48% employing a multi-tiered system[24] - Germany serves as a model with a national minimum wage of €12.82 per hour in 2025, with specific industries having higher rates, such as €19.37 for educators and €15.50 for caregivers[38] - The relative minimum wage in many countries is about 52.3% of per capita GDP, indicating a correlation between economic development and minimum wage levels[30]