Ruida Futures(SZ:002961) Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-07-17 11:08Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View The supply of pure benzene remains ample due to the restart of large domestic plants and high port arrivals. Downstream demand is limited, mainly supported by styrene and caprolactam. There are plans for new downstream plants to start production this month, which may improve the supply - demand imbalance. In the short term, the low - valuation situation of spot goods caused by weak supply - demand may continue, and the spot price of pure benzene is expected to fluctuate at a low level. The daily operating range of BZ2603 is expected to be around 6070 - 6200 [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The main closing price of pure benzene is 6122 yuan/ton, down 44 yuan; the main settlement price is 6139 yuan/ton, down 14 yuan. The main trading volume is 12912 lots, down 1137 lots; the main open interest is 13126 lots, down 765 lots [2]. Spot Market - The mainstream prices of pure benzene in the East China, North China, South China, and Northeast regions are 5960 yuan/ton, 5800 yuan/ton, 5950 yuan/ton, and 5800 yuan/ton respectively, with changes of - 10 yuan/ton, - 60 yuan/ton, 0 yuan/ton, and - 40 yuan/ton [2]. - The mainstream prices of hydrogenated benzene in Jiangsu and Shanxi regions are 5950 yuan/ton and 5675 yuan/ton respectively, with changes of - 50 yuan/ton and 0 yuan/ton [2]. - The spot price of pure benzene in South Korea (FOB) is 724 dollars/ton, unchanged; the CIF price in China is 740.5 dollars/ton, unchanged [2]. Upstream Situation - The spot price of Brent DTD crude oil is 70.18 dollars/barrel, down 0.93 dollars; the CFR price of naphtha in Japan is 581.38 dollars/ton, down 2.37 dollars [2]. Industry Situation - The capacity utilization rate of pure benzene is 78.14%, up 0.13%; the weekly output is 43.17 tons, down 0.16 tons. The port inventory is 17.4 tons, down 0.3 tons [2]. - The production cost of pure benzene is 5327.8 yuan/ton, down 118.2 yuan; the production profit is 737 yuan/ton, up 76 yuan [2]. Downstream Situation - The开工率 of styrene is 79.21%, down 0.82%; the capacity utilization rates of caprolactam, phenol, aniline, and adipic acid are 95.72% (up 6.41%), 78.54% (down 0.46%), 69.24% (down 0.1%), and 64.3% (up 2%) respectively [2]. Industry News - From July 4th to 10th, the weekly profit of pure benzene was 584 yuan/ton, down 153 yuan/ton compared to the previous period [2]. - As of July 14th, the commercial inventory of pure benzene in Jiangsu ports was 16.4 tons, down 5.75% from the previous period [2]. - BZ2603 fluctuated weakly, closing at 6122 yuan/ton. Last week, the impact of shutdowns of petroleum benzene plants expanded, with the capacity utilization rate down 0.29% to 77.85%; three hydrogenated benzene plants shut down, with the capacity utilization rate down 9.32% to 61.95% [2].