Workflow
深刻认识内卷,中国开启整治内卷行动
Xiangcai Securities·2025-07-17 13:29

Group 1: Understanding Involution - Involution refers to a form of excessive competition that harms economic development, characterized by a lack of qualitative change and merely quantitative accumulation[4] - The term originated from agricultural production, highlighting the contradiction between population growth and limited land resources, leading to intensified competition for economic opportunities[10] - Involution manifests at various levels, including individual laborers facing high work pressure, intense competition among enterprises, and regional economic conflicts[11] Group 2: Government Actions Against Involution - The Central Economic Work Conference in December 2024 announced comprehensive measures to address "involution-style" competition, indicating a shift in policy focus[16] - The government aims to promote a unified national market, eliminate local protectionism, and address market fragmentation, which contributes to involution[17] - The Central Finance Committee's meeting on July 1, 2025, emphasized the need to regulate low-price disorderly competition and improve product quality, marking a significant step in combating involution[22] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The ongoing anti-involution campaign is expected to transform and boost the Chinese economy over the long term, particularly in sectors like new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, and photovoltaics[23] - Industries where China holds a global monopoly, such as photovoltaics, are anticipated to experience stronger anti-involution measures compared to those facing international competition pressures[23] - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in both emerging industries and traditional sectors with historical overcapacity issues, such as steel and cement[23] Group 4: Risks and Challenges - The progress of anti-involution measures may face delays and challenges due to the need for changes in development concepts and institutional frameworks[24] - Local governments and enterprises may encounter difficulties and resistance in implementing the proposed measures effectively[24]