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债券“科技板”见微知著:从跟踪指数成分券结构看科创债ETF成长空间
Soochow Securities·2025-07-17 15:14
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The issuance of the first batch of Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs has landed, empowering the continuous expansion of the Sci - tech Innovation Bond market. As of July 15, 2025, 10 Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs have raised a total of 28.988 billion yuan, accounting for about 96.63% of the planned fundraising scale cap [1][13]. - Through the analysis of the underlying component bonds of the tracking indices of Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs, it is found that there are differences in the term structure, issuer structure, coupon rate, and yield distribution among the three major indices, and the excess spread of Sci - tech Innovation Bonds varies due to the issuer's qualifications [1]. - The issuance of Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs will increase the allocation demand for Sci - tech Innovation Bonds, improve market liquidity, and attract medium - and long - term funds into the Sci - tech Innovation Bond market [1][8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 First Batch of Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs Issued, Empowering the Continuous Expansion of the Sci - tech Innovation Bond Market - On June 18, 2025, the first batch of 10 Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs were submitted collectively, approved on July 2, and scheduled for issuance on July 7. Among them, 6 products track the CSI AAA Sci - tech Innovation Corporate Bond Index, 3 track the SSE AAA Sci - tech Innovation Corporate Bond Index, and 1 tracks the SZSE AAA Sci - tech Innovation Corporate Bond Index [1][13]. - As of July 15, 2025, these 10 ETFs raised a total of 28.988 billion yuan, accounting for about 96.63% of the planned fundraising scale cap [1][13]. 3.2 Analysis of the Component Bond Structure of the Tracking Indices of Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs - Component Bond Quantity and Scale: As of July 4, 2025, the number of component bonds of the CSI, SSE, and SZSE AAA Sci - tech Innovation Corporate Bond Indices was 825, 678, and 146 respectively, with outstanding scales of 107.4735 billion yuan, 93.0605 billion yuan, and 14.183 billion yuan respectively [1][16]. - Remaining Term Structure: The remaining term structures of the three indices are basically the same, mainly short - and medium - term within 5 years. The Shenzhen index has a relatively lower component bond term center, and the term distribution of the index component bonds is consistent with that of the existing Sci - tech Innovation Corporate Bonds [1][17]. - Issuer Structure: The issuers of the component bonds of the three indices are all AAA - rated with high credit quality, mainly central and local state - owned enterprises. The Shenzhen index has a more diverse issuer structure in terms of enterprise nature and industry distribution [1][22]. - Coupon Rate Distribution: The coupon rates of the component bonds of the three indices are mainly concentrated in the 2 - 2.5% range. The coupon rate center of the Shenzhen index has shifted upward [1][26]. - Yield Distribution: The yield distribution of the CSI and SSE indices is more balanced, while the yield of the Shenzhen index shows significant polarization [1][28]. - Excess Spread: The excess spread of perpetual and non - perpetual Sci - tech Innovation Bonds of the top ten issuers by market value in the index component bonds is between - 2.45 and 23.94BP and between - 7.78 and 32.97BP respectively. The compression space of the excess spread of the Shenzhen index is relatively large [1][29]. 3.3 Impact of the Issuance of Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs on the Sci - tech Innovation Bond Market - Increase Allocation Demand for Sci - tech Innovation Bonds: Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs have advantages such as low fees, high position transparency, and efficient trading mechanisms. With the issuance of the first batch of ETFs, the scale is expected to continue growing, bringing about allocation demand for component bonds. The market of Sci - tech Innovation Corporate Bonds may have started [1][34][35]. - Improve Market Liquidity of Sci - tech Innovation Bonds: The launch of ETFs will strengthen the market liquidity of Sci - tech Innovation Corporate Bonds, facilitate investors' participation, compress liquidity premiums, and improve pricing efficiency [1][8][38]. - Attract Medium - and Long - Term Funds into the Sci - tech Innovation Bond Market: The launch of Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs can match the allocation needs of institutional investors such as social security funds, pensions, and insurance funds, attracting medium - and long - term funds into the market [8][43].