Xinda Securities·2025-07-20 03:44Investment Rating - The investment rating for the environmental sector is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the ongoing promotion of a dual pricing system for heating, indicating that the reform of heating prices is continuously advancing. The centralized heating area in China has shown a growth trend, increasing from 8.309 billion square meters in 2017 to 11.549 billion square meters in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 5.6% [3][14] - The report emphasizes that the heating pricing mechanism is expected to be further streamlined with policy support, as local governments have initiated price adjustment policies in response to rising operational pressures on heating enterprises [3][24][25] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of July 18, the environmental sector declined by 0.49%, underperforming the broader market, which saw the Shanghai Composite Index rise by 0.69% to 3534.48 [3][9] Industry Dynamics - The Central Urban Work Conference held on July 14-15 emphasized building green and low-carbon cities and improving urban biodiversity [29] - New national ecological standards for air quality monitoring were approved, set to be implemented on August 1, 2025 [31] Special Topic: Heating Price Reform - The report details the dual pricing system for heating, which combines a basic heating price and a metered heating price. The basic price can be set between 30%-60% of the total heating price, with encouragement for a 30% ratio in practice [22][24] - The total heating supply through hot water has increased from 2.765 billion gigajoules in 2014 to 3.63 billion gigajoules in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 3.1% [17][19] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the "14th Five-Year Plan" will maintain high demand for energy conservation and environmental protection, with a focus on quality operational assets in the water and waste incineration sectors. Key recommendations include companies like Hanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, and Hongcheng Environment, with additional attention to companies such as Wangneng Environment and Junxin Co [3][46]