Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-07-20 06:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-bank financial industry, indicating an expectation for the sector to outperform the overall market [1]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the positive catalytic effect of the development of RWA (Real World Assets) business in Hong Kong on valuations, highlighting strategic collaborations and the potential for significant market expansion [4][7]. - It notes that the insurance sector is experiencing a favorable environment with a focus on undervalued companies and mid-year performance opportunities, recommending several key players [4][11]. - The brokerage sector is also highlighted, with a recommendation for firms benefiting from improved competitive dynamics and those with strong earnings elasticity [4][11]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,058.55 with a weekly change of +1.1%, while the non-bank index closed at 1,921.37 with a change of -1.2% [7]. - The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported respective changes of -1.1%, -1.4%, and -2.4% [7]. Non-Bank Industry Insights - The report discusses the strategic partnership between GCL-Poly and Taiping Asset Management in Hong Kong, focusing on RWA infrastructure development and digital asset investment [4]. - It highlights the significant growth potential in the tokenization of non-liquid assets, estimating a market size of $16 trillion by 2030 [4]. - The report also notes the performance of various insurance companies, with significant year-on-year growth in premium income for several key players [35][32]. Brokerage Sector Analysis - The report indicates that 30 out of 51 listed brokerages have reported positive earnings forecasts, with net profit growth exceeding 40% for those that disclosed results [4]. - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.26 trillion yuan, reflecting a 52% year-on-year increase [22]. - The report recommends several brokerage firms based on their competitive positioning and earnings potential, including Guotai Junan and CITIC Securities [4][11].