大炼化周报：聚酯终端需求偏弱，价格及盈利有所下跌-20250720

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Cautious" based on the current market conditions and projections for the petrochemical sector [127]. Core Insights - The report highlights a weak demand for polyester end products, leading to a decline in prices and profitability [1]. - The Brent crude oil average price for the week ending July 18, 2025, was $69.09 per barrel, reflecting a decrease of 0.91% from the previous week [1][2]. - Domestic and international refining project price differentials are tracked, with domestic projects showing a price differential of 2462.77 CNY/ton, down 1.21% week-on-week, while international projects increased by 3.84% to 1100.64 CNY/ton [2]. Refining Sector Summary - The report discusses the impact of U.S. tariffs on Brazil and OPEC's downward revision of global oil demand growth forecasts, which raised concerns about future demand [1]. - International oil prices experienced fluctuations, with Brent and WTI prices at $69.28 and $67.34 per barrel, respectively, as of July 18, 2025 [1]. - Domestic refined oil prices have generally declined, while Southeast Asian refined oil prices remain relatively stable [1]. Chemical Sector Summary - The report notes a weak performance in chemical product prices due to anticipated supply increases, with polyolefins showing slight price declines [1]. - Specific chemical products such as EVA and styrene have shown stable yet declining prices, while pure benzene prices have increased slightly [1]. Polyester Sector Summary - The polyester sector is experiencing a downward shift in price levels, with PX market supply remaining tight but raw material support weakening [1]. - The average price for PTA is reported at 4732.14 CNY/ton, with an average loss of 253.97 CNY/ton in profitability [1][91]. - The report indicates that the demand for polyester products remains weak, with textile market orders being low [1]. Performance of Major Refining Companies - The report tracks the stock performance of six major refining companies, with notable weekly changes including Rongsheng Petrochemical (+2.33%) and Xin Fengming (+2.11%) [1][114]. - Over the past month, Rongsheng Petrochemical has increased by 5.28%, while Hengli Petrochemical has decreased by 2.81% [1][114].