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李宁(02331):2025Q2运营点评:2025Q2流水增长环比放缓,期待后续品牌营销
Guohai Securities·2025-07-20 12:02

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for Q2 2025, with offline channels experiencing a low single-digit decline, while e-commerce virtual store sales grew in the mid-single digits [3][5]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its brand store structure by closing inefficient stores, with a net decrease of 18 retail points in 2025 so far, while expecting improvements in single-store operational efficiency [5][7]. - The company anticipates revenue growth of 1% in 2025, followed by 5% in 2026 and 2027, with net profit expected to decline by 19% in 2025 but recover with 11% and 12% growth in the following years [5][7]. Financial Performance - As of July 18, 2025, the company's current share price is HKD 16.24, with a market capitalization of approximately HKD 41,977.33 million [4][8]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 289.3 billion, RMB 303.6 billion, and RMB 318.6 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][7]. - The estimated P/E ratios for the company are 16, 14, and 13 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a potential for valuation improvement [5][7].