Workflow
电新周报:光伏反内卷扎实推进,关注氧化物、聚合物固态电池商业化进展-20250720
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-07-20 11:56

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the photovoltaic and energy storage sectors, highlighting price increases across the supply chain and recommending specific companies that are expected to benefit from these trends [1][5]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a price transmission from silicon materials to the midstream silicon wafer and battery segments, with component prices also rising. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring price control sustainability and potential penalties for violations [1][5]. - In the wind energy sector, the UK AR7 CfD auction reforms are expected to significantly increase the scale of offshore wind tenders, with specific companies recommended for their potential to benefit from this development [1][5]. - The lithium battery sector is seeing advancements in solid-state battery technology, with a focus on oxide and polymer routes that promise better safety and performance without significantly increasing costs [2][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Photovoltaic & Energy Storage - Silicon material prices have been rising, successfully transmitting price increases to the midstream silicon wafer and battery segments. Recent announcements from silicon material companies indicate strong regulatory oversight in the industry [1][5]. - The price range for polysilicon transactions has been active, with prices between 40,000 to 49,000 RMB per ton, and the futures closing price at 43,850 RMB per ton as of July 18 [5][21]. - The report suggests focusing on the sustainability of price controls, the impact of price increases on demand, and potential supply-side policies [5]. Wind Energy - The UK AR7 CfD auction reforms allow for a broader range of projects to participate, potentially increasing the tender scale from 10GW to 30GW. Companies like 大金重工, 东方电缆, and 明阳智能 are highlighted as key beneficiaries [1][5][9]. Lithium Batteries - The report notes that semi-solid and solid-state batteries are likely to enter commercial promotion soon, with advancements in technology addressing previous limitations in conductivity and performance [2][6]. - The application of lithium metal anodes is expected to enhance energy density in solid-state batteries, with a focus on companies involved in these innovations [2][6]. Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - The application of methanol fuel in shipping opens new opportunities for green hydrogen projects, accelerating project timelines and creating demand for hydrogen production equipment [3][18]. - The report highlights the importance of green shipping in driving demand for green hydrogen and methanol, with significant growth expected in the coming years [18]. Electric Vehicles - The launch of the 理想 i8 has generated significant market interest, with pre-orders indicating strong demand. The report suggests that the performance of the i8 will provide insights into supply and demand dynamics in the high-end electric vehicle market [4][15][17]. - The report emphasizes ongoing regulatory efforts to curb irrational competition in the electric vehicle sector, which may impact short-term demand but is expected to stabilize the market in the long run [15][17]. Power Grid - The National Grid's third tender for ultra-high voltage equipment is projected to reach approximately 1 billion RMB, with significant demand anticipated from various engineering projects [10][11][12]. - The report indicates that the ultra-high voltage sector is expected to maintain a high investment intensity during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a projected tender amount exceeding 50 billion RMB in 2025 [11][12]. Overall Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies across various sectors, including photovoltaic, energy storage, wind energy, and lithium batteries, highlighting their potential for growth and resilience in the current market environment [5][18].