Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-07-20 14:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the pig farming industry, emphasizing the long-term value of quality pig enterprises amidst the "anti-involution" trend [3][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the slight increase in the breeding sow inventory in Q2 2025, indicating a potential adjustment in production capacity going forward [3]. - It notes the ongoing decline in average slaughter weights for pigs, suggesting a shift in market dynamics and the need for quality-focused investments [3]. - The report also discusses the recovery in the chicken breeding sector, with a noted increase in the price of broiler chicks, although challenges remain due to high inventory levels [3]. - In the pet food sector, the report indicates a stable growth trajectory despite some short-term sales fluctuations, with a focus on leading brands [3]. - The animal health segment is expected to see a recovery in performance driven by improved profitability in livestock farming and rising demand for vaccines [3]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The average price of pigs is reported at 14.39 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week decline of 2.0% [3]. - The average slaughter weight for pigs has decreased to 128.83 kg, down 0.2 kg from the previous week [3]. - The breeding sow inventory at the end of Q2 2025 is reported at 40.43 million heads, a slight increase of 40,000 heads from Q1 2025 [3]. Chicken Farming - The average price of broiler chicks has increased by 54.3% week-on-week to 1.25 CNY/chick [3]. - The average price of broiler chickens is reported at 3.15 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 3.3% [3]. - The report anticipates a potential rebound in chick prices during July and August, despite current inventory pressures [3]. Pet Food - The total sales of pet food during the 5-6 month period reached 5.83 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6% [3]. - The cumulative sales for the first half of 2025 reached 14.91 billion CNY, showing a year-on-year increase of 12% [3]. - Leading brands are expected to continue outperforming the market, with a focus on product innovation and market leadership [3]. Animal Health - The report notes a 15.8% year-on-year increase in vaccine approvals, with a total of 9,128 batches approved from January to May 2025 [3]. - The recovery in livestock profitability is expected to drive demand for animal health products, particularly vaccines [3].