Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-07-20 14:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the defense and military industry, suggesting an increase in focus on military investments [4][5]. Core Insights - The military trade supply and demand are strongly resonating, creating a new industry landscape, with expectations for continuous progress [5]. - The military industry is entering an upward cycle, driven by domestic demand from military construction, particularly in the transition to "mechanization + informationization" and the upcoming "intelligent + unmanned" equipment [5]. - The global geopolitical changes are expanding military trade demand, with China's military products gaining recognition, leading to a strong resonance between supply and demand in military trade [5]. - The growth cycle in the military sector is expected to enhance industry valuations, with a recognition of "technological equity" in military advancements [5]. - Recommendations include increasing attention to military investments, focusing on next-generation equipment and precision-guided weapons, which are expected to see initial growth by 2025 [5]. Market Review - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Index rose by 2.26%, while the CSI Military Leaders Index increased by 3.68%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 0.69% [6][4]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense and military sector were Beihua Co. (23.37%), Yingliu Co. (20.37%), Feilihua (15.98%), AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (12.78%), and Aerospace Power (11.37%) [6][13]. - The bottom five performing stocks included Changchun Yidong (-9.36%), Rongfa Nuclear Power (-6.6%), Rainbow Co. (-6.14%), Guorui Technology (-5.02%), and Galaxy Electronics (-4.66%) [6][13]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan Military Sector is 83.84, placing it in the upper range historically, with a valuation percentile of 71.57% since January 2014 [14]. - Valuations are slightly differentiated among sub-sectors, with aerospace and aviation equipment at a relatively high valuation since 2020 [14][19]. Key Valuation Targets - The report lists key valuation targets in the military sector, including companies like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Chengfei, and others, with projected net profits and PE ratios for the coming years [21].