期指：或偏强震荡

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report predicts that stock index futures will show a moderately strong oscillatory trend [3] Core Viewpoints - On July 18, all current-month contracts of the four major stock index futures rose. IF increased by 0.55%, IH by 0.65%, IC by 0.14%, and IM by 0.15% [1] - On this trading day, the total trading volume of stock index futures rebounded, indicating an increase in investors' trading enthusiasm. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF increased by 8,649 contracts, IH by 13,531 contracts, while IC decreased by 4,511 contracts and IM by 10,644 contracts. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF decreased by 9,992 contracts, IH by 1,084 contracts, IC by 8,166 contracts, and IM by 18,902 contracts [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures Data - IF Contracts: The closing prices of IF2507, IF2508, IF2509, and IF2512 were 4,050.6, 4,054, 4,041.8, and 4,005.8 respectively, with increases of 0.55%, 0.89%, 0.91%, and 0.90%. The trading volumes were 16,595, 27,038, 59,958, and 10,689 contracts respectively, with changes of -10,517, +6,124, +10,086, and +2,956 contracts. The positions were 0, 44,062, 157,186, and 51,932 contracts respectively, with changes of -23,303, +7,462, +3,905, and +1,944 contracts [1] - IH Contracts: The closing prices of IH2507, IH2508, IH2509, and IH2512 were 2,758.8, 2,768.2, 2,767, and 2,769.2 respectively, with increases of 0.65%, 1.08%, 1.05%, and 1.05%. The trading volumes were 10,204, 15,113, 35,272, and 5,000 contracts respectively, with changes of -1,328, +4,439, +8,696, and +1,724 contracts. The positions were 0, 19,280, 61,598, and 12,583 contracts respectively, with changes of -12,236, +6,015, +4,237, and +900 contracts [1] - IC Contracts: The closing prices of IC2507, IC2508, IC2509, and IC2512 were 6,086.2, 6,054, 6,000.8, and 5,872.4 respectively, with increases of 0.14%, 0.48%, 0.48%, and 0.47%. The trading volumes were 15,641, 27,118, 41,183, and 10,563 contracts respectively, with changes of -11,485, +1,873, +2,879, and +2,222 contracts. The positions were 0, 52,897, 104,430, and 58,268 contracts respectively, with changes of -19,812, +7,450, +2,135, and +2,061 contracts [1] - IM Contracts: The closing prices of IM2507, IM2508, IM2509, and IM2512 were 6,534.6, 6,490, 6,413.6, and 6,227.4 respectively, with increases of 0.15%, 0.50%, 0.47%, and 0.49%. The trading volumes were 21,453, 36,736, 104,691, and 22,446 contracts respectively, with changes of -14,388, +8,419, -4,685, and +10 contracts. The positions were 0, 60,327, 175,267, and 76,869 contracts respectively, with changes of -28,897, +14,880, -2,201, and +551 contracts [1] Trading and Position Analysis - Total trading volume rebounded, indicating increased trading enthusiasm. IF and IH increased, while IC and IM decreased. Total positions of all decreased [2] Trend Intensity - IF and IH trend intensity is 1; IC and IM trend intensity is 1. The range of trend intensity is an integer in the [-2, 2] interval, with -2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6] Important Drivers - Four ministries including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology deployed work to further standardize the competition order in the new energy vehicle industry, requiring in-depth product price monitoring, product consistency supervision, and shortening the payment period for suppliers. They also strengthened industry self - discipline and抵制 online chaos [6] - The State Administration for Market Regulation约谈ed Ele.me, Meituan, and JD.com, requiring them to standardize promotional activities and promote the healthy development of the catering service industry [6] - A symposium on the situation and policies for private entrepreneurs was held in Beijing, emphasizing that private entrepreneurs should enhance their development confidence and stay in line with the Party Central Committee [6] - The China Iron and Steel Industry Association held a meeting of planning department heads, suggesting strict control of new capacity, establishment of a new capacity governance mechanism, and implementation of crude steel production control [7] Market Performance - The three major stock indexes fluctuated upwards. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.5%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.37%, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.34%. A - share trading volume was 1.59 trillion yuan, up from 1.56 trillion yuan the previous day. Concepts such as rare earth permanent magnets, lithium mines, innovative drugs, solid - state batteries, and power stocks performed strongly [7]