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螺纹钢、铁矿石期货品种周报-20250721
Chang Cheng Qi Huo·2025-07-21 03:33

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - For rebar futures, based on the comprehensive analysis of the Great Wall Futures AI intelligent big - data quantitative strategy model, the main contract of rebar futures has entered the fourth week of the red energy ladder area. The daily - level price of rebar futures is in an upward channel, and steel spot enterprises can consider an 80% long - hedging plan [7]. - For iron ore futures, according to the Great Wall Futures AI intelligent data model, the main contract of iron ore futures has entered the third week of the medium - term red energy stage area, and spot enterprises can consider a step - by - step 50% long - hedging strategy [33]. 3. Summary by Directory Rebar Futures - Mid - term Market Analysis - The main contract of rebar futures has entered the fourth week of the red energy ladder area. The weekly output of rebar is 2.09 million tons, the apparent consumption is 2.06 million tons, the inventory of major steel mills is 1.73 million tons, and the social inventory is 5.66 million tons. The daily - level price of rebar futures is in an upward channel. Steel spot enterprises can consider an 80% long - hedging plan [7]. - Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: The main contract of rebar futures entered the third week of the red energy ladder area [10]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: The main contract of rebar futures is in the fourth week of the red energy ladder area in the medium - term trend. Steel spot enterprises can consider a step - by - step 80% long - hedging strategy [11][12]. - Related Data Situation - Variety Diagnosis Situation: The main funds of rebar futures are strongly bearish, with a multi - short flow of - 81.0. The capital energy is 17.5 FP, remaining basically stable. The multi - short divergence is 97.3, indicating a high risk of market reversal [25]. Iron Ore Futures - Mid - term Market Analysis - The main contract of iron ore futures has entered the third week of the medium - term red energy stage area. The global shipment volume of iron ore last week was 29.87 million tons, the arrival volume at 45 major ports in China was 26.62 million tons, the inventory of steel enterprises was 88.22 million tons, and the inventory at major domestic ports was 137.85 million tons. Spot enterprises can consider a step - by - step 50% long - hedging strategy [33]. - Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: The main contract of iron ore futures entered the second week of the medium - term red energy stage area [36]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: Spot enterprises can consider a step - by - step 50% long - hedging strategy [36]. - Related Data Situation - Specific variety diagnosis and selected indicator data are not provided in the text.