Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-07-21 07:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, recommending specific companies for investment based on their potential benefits from recent developments [3][4]. Core Insights - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is expected to significantly boost demand for hydropower equipment, benefiting leading companies in the sector [4][14]. - The report highlights a decline in European and Asian gas prices due to varying supply and demand dynamics, suggesting a potential opportunity for gas companies [17][18]. Summary by Sections 1. Power: Yarlung Tsangpo Downstream Hydropower Project Commencement - The Yarlung Tsangpo River has substantial hydropower resources, with a theoretical capacity of 113 million kilowatts, making it one of the richest rivers in Tibet [8]. - The project involves the construction of five cascade power stations with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, primarily for power transmission outside Tibet [9][10]. - The project is expected to create a demand for hydropower equipment, with estimated annual orders of 4 billion yuan for Dongfang Electric and Harbin Electric, ensuring stable long-term performance for these companies [14][16]. 2. Gas: Global Supply and Demand Variations - As of July 18, the Henry Hub spot price in the US was $3.57/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly increase of 7.57%, while European gas prices showed a decline [17][19]. - The report notes that despite high temperatures increasing gas demand in the US, the overall supply remains stable, leading to a mixed outlook for gas prices [20][26]. - Recommendations include focusing on integrated gas companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, which are expected to benefit from cost reductions and improved profitability [37]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The report indicates that the public utility, power, power equipment, environmental protection, and gas sectors underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index during the week [41]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent government initiatives in Qingdao aim to accelerate the development of non-fossil energy and offshore wind projects, indicating a supportive policy environment for renewable energy [45]. - The report also highlights significant developments in nuclear power and energy storage projects in various provinces, showcasing ongoing investments in clean energy [47][48]. 5. Key Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the public utility and environmental sectors, providing insights into their market positions and potential for growth [51].