Group 1: LPR Pricing and Market Expectations - The LPR for 1-year and 5-year terms remains unchanged at 3.0% and 3.5% respectively, aligning with market expectations[4] - Recent macroeconomic data indicates a stable yet strong economic performance, reducing the immediate necessity for LPR adjustments[5] - The central bank is expected to maintain a policy observation period, with LPR prices likely to remain stable in the short term[5] Group 2: Future Adjustments and Economic Context - There is potential for LPR adjustments in the second half of the year due to external uncertainties and efforts to boost domestic demand[5] - The central bank's recent reduction of the public housing loan rate by 0.25 percentage points opens up possibilities for further reductions in commercial mortgage rates[6] - The actual residential mortgage rate is currently at 4.3%, near historical highs, necessitating adjustments to stimulate housing demand[6] - The next LPR adjustment is anticipated around early Q4, with a potential reduction greater than the previous 0.1 percentage points, possibly reaching 0.2 percentage points[6]
7月LPR报价保持不变符合市场预期，下半年有下调空间
Dong Fang Jin Cheng·2025-07-21 08:50