Zhongyuan Securities·2025-07-21 13:52Market Overview - On July 21, the A-share market opened high and experienced slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3555 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3559.79 points, up 0.72%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.86% to 11007.49 points[8] - Total trading volume for both markets reached 17,274 billion yuan, above the median of the past three years[3] Sector Performance - Strong sectors included engineering construction, cement materials, electric grid equipment, and securities, while banking, insurance, education, and internet services lagged[3] - Over 70% of stocks in the two markets rose, with cement materials and engineering machinery leading the gains[8] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 14.54 times and 40.05 times, respectively, indicating a mid-level valuation over the past three years[3] - The current market conditions are deemed suitable for medium to long-term investments[3] Economic Outlook - China's economy continues to show moderate recovery, with consumption and investment as core drivers[3] - Long-term capital inflows are increasing, with steady growth in ETF sizes and continuous inflow of insurance funds providing significant support[3] Investment Strategy - Short-term focus on sectors with high mid-year performance such as rare earths, lithium, and electricity; mid-term focus on AI, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals; long-term focus on high-dividend banks, public utilities, and strategic emerging industries[3] - The market is expected to maintain a steady upward trend, with close attention needed on policy, capital flow, and external market changes[3]