Soochow Securities·2025-07-21 15:15Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector [1] Core Viewpoints - The real estate market is experiencing a continuous adjustment in transaction volumes, prompting the construction of new urban infrastructure [1] - The central urban work conference indicates a shift in urban development from large-scale expansion to improving existing stock, focusing on seven key tasks [1] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Viewpoints - The current policy environment recognizes the necessity of a stable and healthy real estate market for economic transformation, marking a potential turning point in the current cycle [8] - Recommended companies include state-owned enterprises and quality private firms such as China Resources Land, Poly Developments, and Binjiang Group [8] 2. Real Estate Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data 2.1. Real Estate Market Situation - New home sales in 36 cities decreased by 9.6% week-on-week and 25.0% year-on-year, with cumulative sales of 374.5 million square meters from July 1 to July 18, down 21.6% year-on-year [13] - The second-hand housing market saw a slight decrease of 0.4% week-on-week and 5.8% year-on-year, with cumulative sales of 395.6 million square meters from July 1 to July 18, down 6.7% year-on-year [18] 2.2. Land Market Situation - Land supply in 100 cities from July 14 to July 20 was 1,823.4 million square meters, down 14.0% month-on-month and 27.4% year-on-year [39] - The average land price was 1,067 yuan per square meter, down 27.0% month-on-month and 30.1% year-on-year [45] 2.3. Real Estate Industry Financing Situation - In the week of July 14 to July 20, real estate companies issued 8 credit bonds totaling 7.47 billion yuan, a decrease of 65.5% week-on-week [46] - Year-to-date, real estate companies have issued a total of 326 credit bonds amounting to 269.37 billion yuan, an increase of 14.6% year-on-year [50] 3. Market Review - The real estate sector underperformed compared to the broader market indices, ranking last among 29 sectors with a decline of 2.1% [4] 4. Policy Tracking - The report highlights the government's focus on urban renewal and infrastructure improvements as part of its strategic objectives [1]