Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The market sentiment for both ferrosilicon and silicomanganese remains strong, with a tendency for a bullish and volatile market [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - Futures Data: For ferrosilicon, the closing prices of contracts SF2508 and SF2509 are 5,652 and 5,668 respectively, up 162 and 160 from the previous trading day, with trading volumes of 6,857 and 307,634, and open interests of 8,912 and 193,447. For silicomanganese, the closing prices of contracts SM2508 and SM2509 are 5,906 and 5,914 respectively, up 110 from the previous trading day, with trading volumes of 1,330 and 390,134, and open interests of 11,185 and 360,025 [1]. - Spot Data: The price of ferrosilicon FeSi75 - B in Inner Mongolia is 5,300 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton; the price of silicomanganese FeMn65Si17 in Inner Mongolia is 5,680 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton. The price of manganese ore Mn44 block is 39 yuan/ton - degree, and the price of semi - coke small material in Shenmu is 550 yuan/ton [1]. - Spread Data: The spot - futures spread of ferrosilicon (spot - 08 futures) is - 352 yuan/ton, down 112 yuan/ton; the spot - futures spread of silicomanganese (spot - 09 futures) is - 234 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan/ton. The near - far month spread of ferrosilicon 2508 - 2509 is - 16 yuan/ton, up 2 yuan/ton; the near - far month spread of silicomanganese 2508 - 2509 is - 8 yuan/ton, unchanged. The cross - variety spread of silicomanganese 2508 - ferrosilicon 2508 is 254 yuan/ton, down 52 yuan/ton; the cross - variety spread of silicomanganese 2509 - ferrosilicon 2509 is 246 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - Price Information: On July 21, the price of 72 ferrosilicon in Shaanxi is 5,150 - 5,250 yuan/ton (+100), in Ningxia is 5,250 - 5,350 yuan/ton (+75), in Qinghai is 5,250 - 5,300 yuan/ton (+50), in Gansu is 5,300 - 5,350 yuan/ton (up 100), and in Inner Mongolia is 5,300 - 5,350 yuan/ton (+100). The price of 75 ferrosilicon in Shaanxi is 5,650 - 5,700 yuan/ton, in Ningxia is 5,600 - 5,650 yuan/ton, in Qinghai is 5,550 - 5,600 yuan/ton, in Gansu is 5,600 - 5,650 yuan/ton, and in Inner Mongolia is 5,600 - 5,650 yuan/ton. The FOB price of 72 ferrosilicon is 1,000 - 1,020 US dollars/ton, and the FOB price of 75 ferrosilicon is 1,080 - 1,110 US dollars/ton. The northern quotation of 6517 silicomanganese is 5,600 - 5,700 yuan/ton, and the southern quotation is 5,650 - 5,750 yuan/ton (+50) [2]. - Procurement Information: Zhongtian Iron and Steel in Changzhou has set the procurement price of 75B ferrosilicon at 5,780 yuan/ton in electronic vouchers, up 210 yuan/ton from the previous round, with a quantity of 500 tons. A steel mill in Jiangsu has a silicomanganese procurement price of 5,900 yuan/ton in electronic vouchers, with a procurement quantity of 1,000 tons; a steel mill in Jiangxi has a silicomanganese procurement price of 5,830 yuan/ton in discounted base acceptance and tax - included, with a procurement quantity of 4,000 tons [2]. - Manganese Ore Import Data: In June 2025, the national manganese ore import volume was 268.38 million tons, a decrease of 25.95 million tons (↓8.82%) compared with 294.33 million tons in May, and an increase of 54.01 million tons (↑25.19%) compared with 214.37 million tons in June last year. From January to June 2025, the cumulative manganese ore import volume was 1,444.49 million tons, an increase of 45.44 million tons (↑3.25%) compared with 1,399.05 million tons in the same period in 2024. In June 2025, the top five manganese ore importing countries were South Africa (158.31 million tons), Ghana (46.02 million tons), Australia (22.43 million tons), Gabon (19.08 million tons), and Brazil (7.66 million tons), accounting for 94.46% of the total import volume [4]. - Manganese Ore Production and Sales Data: South32's 2025 fiscal year fourth - quarter report shows that the cumulative production of Australian manganese ore in the 2025 fiscal year was 1.106 billion tons, completing 111% of the annual plan; the cumulative production of South African manganese ore was 2.151 billion tons, completing 108% of the annual plan. In the fourth quarter of the 2025 fiscal year, the production of Australian manganese ore was 467 million tons, and the sales volume was 253 million tons. The production guidance for Australian manganese ore in the 2026 fiscal year is 3.2 billion tons. The South African manganese ore production was 593 million tons, a 25% increase from the previous quarter and an 11% increase year - on - year; the sales volume was 601 million tons, a 48% increase from the previous quarter and a 9% increase year - on - year. The production guidance for South African manganese ore in the 2026 fiscal year remains unchanged at 2 billion tons [4]. 3.3 Trend Intensity The trend intensity of ferrosilicon is 1, and the trend intensity of silicomanganese is 1, indicating a relatively strong trend for both [3].
硅铁：市场情绪不减，偏强震荡，锰硅：市场情绪不减，偏强震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-07-22 02:05