HTSC·2025-07-22 03:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the real estate development and service sectors [6]. Core Insights - The market shows increasing divergence regarding real estate stocks, with a focus on developers in core cities with abundant resources. The report recommends developers with strong credit, good cities, and solid products, as well as top property management companies and Hong Kong REITs benefiting from asset revaluation [1][2]. - Public fund holdings in the real estate sector decreased, with a total market value of 48.4 billion yuan, down 12% quarter-on-quarter, marking a new low in holding ratio [2][3]. - Northbound capital's real estate allocation slightly increased, with a total market value of 13.7 billion yuan, up 10% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a preference for "real estate+" attributes [4]. Summary by Sections Public Fund Holdings - As of Q2 2025, public fund holdings in real estate stocks saw a significant decline, with the total market value at 48.4 billion yuan, representing a 12% decrease from the previous quarter. The holding ratio fell to 0.67%, a drop of 0.12 percentage points [2][3]. - The top five real estate stocks held by public funds include Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, and others, with a combined holding value accounting for approximately 27.9% of the total real estate sector holdings, down 1.3 percentage points [3]. Northbound Capital - Northbound capital's holdings in real estate stocks increased slightly, with a total market value of 13.7 billion yuan, reflecting a 10% rise quarter-on-quarter. The top five holdings include Poly Developments and China Merchants Shekou [4][19]. Recommended Companies - The report highlights several companies with "Buy" ratings and target prices, including: - Chengdu Investment Holdings (600649 CH) with a target price of 6.34 yuan - Chengjian Development (600266 CH) with a target price of 7.32 yuan - Binjiang Group (002244 CH) with a target price of 12.08 yuan - New Town Holdings (601155 CH) with a target price of 17.50 yuan - China Overseas Development (688 HK) with a target price of 17.07 HKD [8][20].