Great Wall Securities·2025-07-22 03:37Investment Rating - The automotive industry is rated as "Overweight" with expectations of outperforming the market in the next six months [45]. Core Insights - The automotive sector saw a 3.28% increase from July 14 to July 18, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.19 percentage points [9][19]. - The retail sales of passenger vehicles in the first two weeks of July 2025 increased by 7% year-on-year, with a total of 571,000 units sold [6][36]. - The expansion of the luxury car consumption tax to vehicles priced above 900,000 yuan is expected to benefit domestic luxury brands [3][36]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The automotive sector's performance included a 1.76% increase in the passenger vehicle segment and a 5.98% increase in the commercial vehicle segment during the same period [9][19]. - The overall performance of the automotive parts sector rose by 4.05%, while the automotive services sector increased by 4.53% [9][19]. Valuation Levels - As of July 18, 2025, the automotive industry's PE-TTM was 26.69, up by 0.86 from the previous week [10][35]. - The valuations for sub-sectors are as follows: passenger vehicles at 25.55, commercial vehicles at 38.23, and parts at 25.33 [10][35]. Market Trends - The automotive-related concept sectors showed overall positive performance, with smart cars and new energy vehicles increasing by 2.93% and 3.19%, respectively [17][35]. - The price changes for raw materials as of July 18, 2025, included a decrease in aluminum and an increase in battery-grade lithium carbonate [23][35]. Key Company Developments - Foton Motor's net profit is expected to increase by 87.5% in the first half of 2025, driven by a rise in commercial vehicle sales [29]. - Great Wall Motors reported a 10.21% decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, despite a slight increase in revenue [32]. New Vehicle Launches - A total of 22 new and updated vehicle models were launched during the week of July 14-18, 2025, including the Roewe iMAX8 and the Beijing X7 [34].