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宏华数科(688789):中报业绩预告符合预期,数码印花渗透率持续提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing penetration rate of digital printing equipment, which is still at a low level, indicating significant long-term growth potential [7]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the rising demand for digital printing equipment, as the apparel printing industry trends towards small batch and quick response orders [7]. - The company has a business model that includes selling consumables (inks), which enhances customer loyalty and ensures cash flow stability [7]. - New business segments, such as automatic sewing equipment and digital printing equipment, are anticipated to contribute to revenue growth [7]. Financial Performance and Projections - For the first half of 2025, the company expects revenue between 1.02 billion to 1.06 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.01% to 29.91% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be between 240 million to 260 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 19.9% to 29.89% [1]. - The company forecasts total revenue of 2.312 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 29% [3][7]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 553 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 33% [3][7]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price is 67.34 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 12.1 billion yuan [4]. - The company’s PE ratio is projected to decrease from 37.2 in 2023 to 21.8 in 2025, indicating a more attractive valuation over time [3][15]. - The PB ratio is expected to decline from 4.2 in 2023 to 3.4 in 2025, suggesting improved valuation metrics [3][15].