Guohai Securities·2025-07-22 10:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1][9]. Core Views - The report highlights that the company's Q2 performance showed improvement both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, driven by increased sales and product mix enhancement [5][8]. - The company achieved total revenue of 92.37 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.0%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.2% [5]. - In Q2 2025, total revenue reached 52.35 billion yuan, up 7.8% year-on-year and 30.8% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 4.59 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 161.9% [5]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In Q2 2025, the company sold 313,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.9% [5]. - The average selling price per vehicle reached 167,000 yuan, up 11,000 yuan quarter-on-quarter [5]. Sales and Market Position - The company maintained its leading position in the pickup truck segment, with Q2 export sales of 10,700 units, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.5% [5]. - For the first half of 2025, total global sales of the company's pickups reached 96,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, with overseas sales of 30,000 units, up 24.3% year-on-year [5]. Product Development - The company has been actively launching new products, with the latest models featuring advanced hybrid systems and extended range capabilities [5]. - The introduction of new models is expected to accelerate demand, particularly with the integration of intelligent driving technologies [5]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 225.3 billion yuan, 252.6 billion yuan, and 281.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 12%, and 11% [8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 14.03 billion yuan, 15.76 billion yuan, and 17.14 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 11%, 12%, and 9% respectively [8].