主动债券开放型基金二季报分析
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-07-22 13:23

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q2 2025, the pure - bond positions of active bond funds increased, while the equity positions decreased overall; both the leverage ratio and duration increased [1] - The bond market showed low - volatility fluctuations in Q2 2025, with short - term performance outperforming long - term performance. There was a double - bull market in stocks and bonds, and different types of active bond funds had different operation ideas in pure - bond positions, but all reduced equity positions to varying degrees [4] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 2025 Q2 Market Review - The bond market had low - volatility fluctuations in Q2 2025, with short - term performance better than long - term performance. In April, affected by the "reciprocal tariff" executive order, the bond market rose, then fluctuated due to factors like the game of monetary easing expectations and changing tariff policies. In May, the bond market entered a transition period under capital constraints, and the spread compression market gradually evolved. In June, with the central bank's support, the capital market was loose, and the bond market rose, with short - term performance stronger. The ChinaBond Aggregate Net Price Index rose 0.90%, the ChinaBond Financial Bond Aggregate Net Price Index rose 0.53%, the ChinaBond Corporate Bond Aggregate Net Price Index rose 0.01%, and the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 3.77% [4][8] Asset Allocation: Pure - Bond Positions Increase Overall, Equity Positions Decrease Overall - As of June 30, 2025, the equity positions of active bond open - end funds (old) were 4.70%, a decrease of 0.31 percentage points from the end of Q1; the pure - bond positions were 109.03%, an increase of 2.88 percentage points; the deposit positions were 1.14%, a decrease of 0.15 percentage points; and other asset positions were 0.70%, an increase of 0.22 percentage points [10] - In Q2 2025, there was a double - bull market in stocks and bonds. Different types of active bond funds had different ideas in pure - bond positions, and all reduced equity positions to varying degrees. The equity positions of convertible - bond bond funds decreased significantly, followed by partial - debt bond funds. Except for convertible - bond bond funds, the pure - bond positions of other types of active bond funds increased significantly [4][12] Category Asset Allocation: Interest - Rate Bond and Credit - Bond Positions of Pure - Bond Products Increase - As of June 30, 2025, the interest - rate bond positions of active bond open - end funds (old) were 43.42%, an increase of 1.99 percentage points from the end of the previous quarter; the credit - bond positions were 65.61%, an increase of 0.89 percentage points. For pure - bond bond and quasi - bond bond products, the interest - rate bond positions at the end of Q2 were 46.81%, an increase of 1.89 percentage points, and the credit - bond positions were 65.85%, an increase of 0.72 percentage points [17] - Within interest - rate bonds, the treasury bond positions at the end of Q2 were 9.05%, an increase of 2.12 percentage points; the policy - financial bond positions were 32.04%, a decrease of 0.05 percentage points; and the inter - bank certificate of deposit positions were 2.33%, a decrease of 0.08 percentage points. Within credit bonds, the short - term financing positions were 2.56%, a decrease of 0.41 percentage points; the medium - term note positions were 22.35%, a decrease of 0.28 percentage points; the corporate bond positions were 10.09%, a decrease of 0.42 percentage points; and the financial bond (excluding policy - financial bonds) positions were 28.09%, an increase of 2.85 percentage points. Institutions generally increased financial bonds to increase returns [18] Leverage Ratio: Recovery - As of June 30, 2025, the overall leverage ratio of active bond funds (old) was 116.76%, an increase of 2.31 percentage points from the end of the previous quarter. In Q2, the capital market was loose, and institutions increased leverage to increase returns [20] Individual Bond Selection: Lengthen Duration, Increase Allocation of High - Grade Credit Bonds - As of the end of Q2, the positions of high - grade credit bonds in active bond funds were about 51.19%, an increase of 1.16 percentage points from the end of the previous quarter; the positions of low - grade credit bonds were about 14.42%, a decrease of 0.28 percentage points. Institutions increased the allocation of high - grade credit bonds considering both coupon and liquidity [23] - As of the end of Q2, the pre - leverage duration of the top - holding bonds in active bond funds was 4.13 years, a lengthening of 0.90 years from the end of the previous quarter; the post - leverage duration was 4.49 years, a lengthening of 1.07 years. Institutions chose to lengthen duration waiting for interest - rate strengthening [23]