天风证券晨会集萃-20250723

Group 1 - The report highlights the top five actively increased sectors in public funds for Q2 2025, which are communication, pharmaceutical biology, non-bank financials, banking, and military industry, indicating a shift in investment logic towards these sectors [2] - The absolute allocation of active equity funds shows a significant drop in midstream manufacturing and an increase in downstream consumption, with midstream manufacturing at 41.86% and downstream consumption at 34% [2] - The report notes that electronic, pharmaceutical biology, and power equipment sectors have the highest overweight ratios in the industry, while the overweight ratios for power equipment, automotive, and food and beverage sectors have decreased [2] Group 2 - The banking sector has experienced a notable price correction since July 11, with the banking index down 3.41% as of July 18, primarily due to profit-taking and shareholder sell-offs [6] - Despite the recent correction, the long-term positive trend for bank valuations remains intact, supported by stable net interest margins and improving non-interest income [9] - The report recommends focusing on quality regional small and medium banks such as Chengdu Bank and Changshu Bank, as well as major state-owned banks like ICBC, Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, and Postal Savings Bank of China [9] Group 3 - The report discusses the expected policy measures from the upcoming Political Bureau meeting, which may further promote domestic circulation and economic stability [4] - It notes that the A-share market has shown slight increases due to better-than-expected economic growth and policies encouraging long-term capital inflow [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the performance of various asset classes, including equities and fixed income, in light of ongoing economic adjustments [4][27]