Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-07-23 07:40Investment Rating - The investment rating for the computer industry is currently at a low public fund allocation of 2.6%, which is a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from the previous quarter, placing it in the 10th percentile since 2010 [4][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights three main logical frameworks supporting the computer sector: the improvement of domestic supernode solutions, the commercialization of AI applications driven by foundational large models, and continuous innovations in various fields such as stablecoins and 3D printing [4][7][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Fund Allocation and Holdings - In Q2 2025, the computer industry saw a fund allocation of 2.6%, ranking 13th among 30 primary industries, indicating a mid-level position [6]. - The top ten holdings in the computer sector include Huada Jiutian, Kingdee International, and Keda Xunfei, with Meitu replacing UFIDA in the top ten [12][13]. 2. AI and Computing Power - Domestic supernode solutions are gaining traction, with Huawei's CloudMatrix384 demonstrating a significant performance advantage over NVIDIA's H100, achieving 1.7 times the computing power and 3.6 times the memory capacity [7][8]. - The introduction of several foundational large models, such as DeepSeek R1 and Kimi K2, is accelerating the commercialization of AI applications, enhancing the capabilities of domestic AI agents [8][9]. 3. Innovations in Financial Technologies - Stablecoins are moving towards compliance and payment infrastructure development, with projections indicating a potential market size of $2-3.7 trillion within the next 3-5 years, which will stimulate growth across the financial IT and electronic payment sectors [9][10]. - The shift of 3D printing from industrial to consumer-grade products is expected to unlock significant market potential, with entry-level prices dropping to 1499 yuan, thus broadening accessibility [10][11]. 4. Valuation Metrics - As of July 22, 2025, the computer industry has a PE (TTM) of 85.4x, which is at the 93.4 percentile historically, indicating a high valuation relative to past performance [20][22]. - The report notes that the current valuation levels exceed those seen in 2020 and 2023, reflecting optimistic market expectations regarding future profitability [21][22]. 5. Key Investment Targets - The report identifies several key investment targets across various segments, including AI applications (e.g., Kingsoft Office, Dingjie Zhizhi) and digital economy leaders (e.g., Hikvision, Kingdee International) [26].