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科创债ETF广发(511120)投资价值分析
Southwest Securities·2025-07-23 08:32
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Kechuang Bond ETF is expected to succeed the outstanding performance of the Credit Bond ETF. In the short - term, it may become a new market hot - spot, and in the long - term, it has the characteristics of controllable risks and stable returns [3][14]. - In the current interest rate environment, bond - type assets still play a "ballast stone" role in the asset portfolio, and credit bonds are the preferred choice for bond - type asset allocation, among which Kechuang bonds are the "new hot - spot" in credit bond assets [18][19]. - Kechuang Bond ETF Guangfa has advantages such as a more neutral duration, and its tracking index has features like a large number of subjects, a large market capacity, and high single - bond balances [3][31]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 1 Kechuang Bond ETF Value Analysis - The tracking index of Kechuang Bond ETF Guangfa contains high - quality Kechuang bonds listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, covering industries with high importance and strong stability. The index is calculated by the total market - value weighted method with a monthly sample - adjustment cycle [3][10]. - The Shanghai AAA Kechuang Bond Index shows good offensive ability in a bond bull market, with a cumulative return of 14.78% since 2023 and an annualized return of 4.68%. Its drawdown amplitude is relatively small [13]. - In the current low - inflation environment, bond - type assets are the "ballast stone" in the asset portfolio, and credit bonds are the preferred choice for bond - type asset allocation. Kechuang bonds, as a new hot - spot in credit bond assets, are in a "golden period" for investment [18][19]. 3.2 2 Kechuang Bond ETF Guangfa (511120) Information Introduction 3.2.1 Product Basic Situation Introduction - Kechuang Bond ETF Guangfa was established on July 10, 2025, and officially listed for trading on July 17, 2025. Its issuance and fundraising scale reached 2.968 billion yuan, and after listing, its scale increased to 5.662 billion yuan, with an increase of 90.73%. The average daily trading volume was about 2.738 billion yuan, and the turnover rate was 48.35%. It has a certain fee - rate advantage [24]. - It uses a physical subscription and redemption mechanism. Investors can subscribe with a basket of component bonds or cash. The trading mechanism is for on - exchange funds with continuous auction trading, and it provides T + 0 trading between the primary and secondary markets. The income distribution adopts the cash - dividend method without a mandatory dividend commitment [25][27]. 3.2.2 Shanghai AAA Kechuang Bond Index Features Introduction - It is expected to be included in the pledge library, with a potentially higher pledge discount coefficient. It belongs to the medium - duration index, has a clear fund use, a relatively high credit level, and a larger strategy capacity [28][29]. 3.2.3 Kechuang Bond ETF Guangfa Applicable Scenarios Introduction - In the long - term investment logic, it is suitable for the credit - bond allocation enhancement strategy in a low - interest - rate environment. In the short - term investment logic, it can be applied to investment strategies such as spread trading, arbitrage trading, and credit short - selling [30]. 3.3 3 Comparison with Mainstream Bond ETF Products - Kechuang Bond ETF Guangfa has a more neutral duration. Compared with mainstream bond ETFs, it is more suitable for obtaining higher returns in a falling - interest - rate environment and can better control the drawdown amplitude [31]. - The tracking index of Kechuang Bond ETF Guangfa has advantages such as a large number of subjects, a large market capacity, and high single - bond balances, which are beneficial for risk dispersion, strategy reserve, and investment transactions [32].