Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Neutral (maintained rating) [2] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the need to strengthen industry self-discipline to prevent "involutionary competition," which distorts market price signals and harms industry competitiveness [3][12] - The supply-side reform policies have shown significant effects in the chemical industry, particularly in the re-pricing of cost factors, which is crucial for driving structural changes and enhancing competitiveness [4][5][44] - The report suggests that under the backdrop of "anti-involution," the chemical sector is expected to see a re-pricing of cost factors related to green low-carbon initiatives, energy conservation, and process optimization, similar to the achievements during the supply-side reform period [5] Summary by Sections 1. Involutionary Competition - Involutionary competition differs from fair competition and leads to market price signal distortion, resulting in long-term industry competitiveness decline and consumer rights damage [3][14] - The causes of involutionary competition include the absence of standards in emerging industries, price signal failure, and inappropriate preferential policies [15][16] 2. Supply-Side Reform Review - The supply-side reform was first proposed in November 2015, aiming to enhance the quality and efficiency of the supply system [27][28] - The reform's key tasks include reducing excess capacity, lowering costs, and improving supply structure [35][36] - Significant achievements have been made, including the elimination of over 300 million tons of outdated steel capacity and a notable increase in high-tech product exports [41][42] 3. Re-Pricing of Cost Factors in the Chemical Sector - The 2016 "Guidance on Structural Adjustment and Transformation of the Petrochemical Industry" outlines key goals and tasks for optimizing capacity structure and enhancing innovation capabilities [44][45] - The report highlights the importance of re-pricing cost factors to promote green development and improve the overall competitiveness of the chemical industry [5][44]
参考供给侧改革,通过“成本要素”定价“反内卷”
Tianfeng Securities·2025-07-23 11:40