英大证券晨会纪要-20250724

Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing a divergence around the 3600-point level, with a significant trading volume exceeding 1.8 trillion yuan, indicating a potential for short-term volatility due to profit-taking and historical resistance levels [1][10][12] - The market is characterized by a "slow bull" trend in the medium term, driven by favorable tariff negotiations, continuous policy support, and an overall improvement in liquidity conditions [1][10][12] Sector Analysis - Traditional sectors are recovering due to low valuations and supportive policies, with a focus on segments benefiting from large-scale infrastructure projects [4][10] - The Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is a key driver for the hydropower sector, suggesting potential for further gains despite recent price increases [6] - The medical services sector is gaining traction, particularly in innovative pharmaceuticals, which are expected to see improved fundamentals in the latter half of 2025 due to a favorable commercialization environment and demographic trends [7] - The securities sector shows potential for recovery, with expected increases in trading volume and supportive monetary policies, making it a focus for medium-term investments [8][9] Investment Strategy - Short-term strategies should avoid chasing high-flying stocks and consider profit-taking on sectors that have seen significant gains, such as hydropower [2][11] - Medium-term investments should target growth sectors with strong policy and technological drivers, including AI infrastructure, innovative pharmaceuticals, and humanoid robotics [2][11]