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市场情绪降温,指数冲高回落
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2025-07-24 02:52

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2) Core View of the Report - Overseas, the trade agreement between the US and Japan and the positive negotiations with the EU boosted investor confidence, leading to a collective rise in the three major US stock indices. Domestically, the strong upward movement of the financial sector provided strong support for the index, but overall market sentiment tended to be cautious, with signs of profit - taking in previously strongly rebounding sectors. It is expected that the cautious market sentiment will continue today. Although the view of strategically bullish on stock indices in the medium - to - long term is maintained, short - term operations need to be cautious [1][2][3] 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - International Trade: The US and Japan reached a trade agreement. The "reciprocal tariff" rate imposed by the US on Japan will be reduced from 25% to 15%. Japan will increase the import of US rice under the "minimum access system" and commit to investing $550 billion in the US. Japan will purchase $8 billion worth of US goods. The EU and the US are moving towards an agreement that will set a 15% tariff rate for most products. China and the US will hold economic and trade talks in Sweden from July 27th to 30th [1] - Stock Market: In the domestic spot market, the three major A - share indices rose and then fell. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.01% to close at 3582.30 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.01%. Sector indices mostly declined, with non - bank finance, beauty care, and household appliances leading the gains, while building materials, national defense and military industry, machinery, and power equipment sectors leading the losses. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets remained at 1.9 trillion yuan. In the overseas market, the three major US stock indices all closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 1.14% to close at 45010.29 points [2] - Futures Market: In the futures market, the basis of stock index futures showed differentiation, with only the IM discount continuing to repair. In terms of trading volume and open interest, both the trading volume and open interest of stock index futures increased [2] Strategy - Overseas events boosted investor confidence, while domestic market sentiment was cautious. Although the medium - to - long - term view is bullish on stock indices, short - term operations should be cautious [3] Chart Summary - Macroeconomic Charts: Include charts showing the relationship between the US dollar index and A - share trends, US Treasury yields and A - share trends, RMB exchange rates and A - share trends, and US Treasury yields and A - share style trends [7][8][10] - Spot Market Tracking Charts: The table shows the daily performance of major domestic stock indices on July 23, 2025, and July 22, 2025, including the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, etc. There are also charts of the trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and margin trading balances [13][14] - Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts: Tables show the trading volume and open interest of stock index futures (IF, IH, IC, IM), the basis of stock index futures (including different contract periods), and the inter - period spreads of stock index futures. There are also corresponding charts for each item [18][40][50]