盘面振幅放大，需关注交易风险

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The industrial silicon and photovoltaic industry chain prices have significant fluctuations, and risks need to be closely monitored [1][6] - The coking coal futures sentiment is still strong in the short - term, and attention should be paid to subsequent production changes [2] - The photovoltaic industry chain prices have been greatly adjusted recently, and it is necessary to wait for price transmission [6] Market Analysis Industrial Silicon - On July 23, 2025, the industrial silicon futures price rose sharply and then fell. The main contract 2509 opened at 9810 yuan/ton and closed at 9525 yuan/ton, a change of 0.58% from the previous settlement [1] - The industrial silicon spot price increased. The price of East China oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 9900 - 10100 yuan/ton, and 421 silicon was 10100 - 10400 yuan/ton [1] - The organic silicon DMC quotation was 11600 - 12500 yuan/ton. A monomer enterprise in Shandong Zibo stopped production with an 800,000 - ton monomer capacity, and the shutdown duration is uncertain [1] Polysilicon - On July 23, 2025, the polysilicon futures main contract 2509 hit the daily limit and then fell, closing at 50080 yuan/ton, a 5.50% change from the previous trading day [3] - The polysilicon spot price remained stable. N - type material was 43.00 - 49.00 yuan/kg, and n - type granular silicon was 42.00 - 46.00 yuan/kg [3] - Polysilicon and silicon wafer inventories decreased. The polysilicon inventory was 24.90, a - 9.78% change, and the silicon wafer inventory was 16.02GW, a - 5.70% change [3] Battery and Component - The prices of various types of battery cells and components remained relatively stable, with little change [4][5] - In June, the new photovoltaic installed capacity decreased by 38.45% year - on - year. As of June, the cumulative solar power installed capacity was 1.1 billion kilowatts, a 54.2% year - on - year increase [5] Strategies Coking Coal - In the short - term, it is cautiously bullish. If it rises significantly, sell - hedging can be considered [2] Photovoltaic - In the short - term, conduct range trading [6]