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士兰微(600460):家电、工业需求向好,业绩弹性有望显现

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [6][8]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as one of the few private IDM (Integrated Device Manufacturer) semiconductor firms in China, with strong competitiveness in its IPM (Intelligent Power Module) products, particularly benefiting from demand growth in the home appliance and industrial sectors due to national subsidies and economic recovery [6][8]. - The company is expected to achieve significant net profit growth from 2025 to 2027, with projected net profits of 640 million RMB, 880 million RMB, and 1.16 billion RMB, representing year-on-year growth rates of 192%, 38%, and 31% respectively [6][8]. - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 65, 47, and 36 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, which supports the "Buy" rating [6][8]. Financial Summary - The company anticipates a net profit of 24 million to 28 million RMB in the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from losses in the previous year, with a year-on-year growth of 90% to 122% [8]. - Revenue is projected to grow from 9.34 billion RMB in 2023 to 14.03 billion RMB in 2025, with a steady increase in operating profit expected [11]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to remain stable due to cost reduction measures and increased production capacity, particularly in its 12-inch wafer production lines [8][11].