BOB(SH:601169) Changjiang Securities·2025-07-24 08:54Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for Beijing Bank [10]. Core Views - Beijing Bank is a leading city commercial bank with a broad national presence, focusing its credit structure on core regions such as the Yangtze River Delta. The bank has seen a recovery in corporate lending, which has driven credit growth as historical risks have been cleared [2][6]. - The bank's asset-liability structure is stable with low volatility, resulting in a net interest margin that fluctuates less than its peers. The cost of deposits is expected to continue improving, enhancing the bank's competitive edge [2][8]. - The non-performing loan ratio has decreased, with expectations for further improvement in asset quality and provisioning [2][9]. - The bank's projected price-to-book (PB) ratio for 2025 is 0.50x, indicating significant undervaluation compared to its peers in the banking sector [2][10]. Summary by Sections Regional Layout - Beijing Bank has established 628 branches across 12 provinces, municipalities, Hong Kong, and Amsterdam, optimizing its branch network for efficiency. The credit structure has shifted towards the Yangtze River Delta, with loan growth in Shanghai, Zhejiang, and Jiangsu expected to reach a compound annual growth rate of 17% from 2021 to 2024 [6][22]. Asset-Liability Structure - The bank's asset structure is more aligned with joint-stock banks, with a higher loan-to-asset ratio and lower financial investment ratio compared to peers. This stability results in a net interest margin of 1.47% for 2024, with lower volatility in earnings due to a higher proportion of loans [8][38]. Corporate Loan Risk Management - The bank has effectively managed corporate loan risks, with a non-performing loan ratio projected to decrease to 1.30% by the end of Q1 2025. The bank has maintained a stable net generation rate of non-performing loans, with a focus on managing risks in the real estate sector [9][20]. Profitability and Investment Recommendations - The bank is viewed as a stable dividend asset with a consistent payout ratio of around 30%. The expected dividend yield for 2025 is 4.7%, making it an attractive investment opportunity. The bank's valuation is significantly undervalued at a projected PB of 0.50x, warranting a "Buy" rating [10][12].