公募基金2025Q2季报分析：抱团松动，头部持仓集中度回落

Fund Market Overview - The total scale of public funds exceeded 33.67 trillion yuan as of Q2 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 6.71% [6][11] - The growth structure indicates a clear preference for bond funds, money market funds, and passive index products, while actively managed equity funds continue to face net redemption pressure [6][11] - The number of newly established funds in Q2 2025 was 378, with a total fundraising scale of 286.12 billion yuan, marking an increase of approximately 29.2 billion yuan from Q1 [11][12] Fund Performance - The median return for various fund types was positive, with cross-border equity products performing particularly well; QDII mixed and QDII equity funds had median returns of 9.25% and 8.05%, respectively [2][6] - Active equity funds had a total scale of approximately 3.34 trillion yuan, remaining stable quarter-on-quarter but showing a continuous decline in share, reflecting cautious investor sentiment [2][15] Active Equity Fund Configuration - Active equity funds showed a clear trend of increasing positions, with the average stock position rising to 88.13%, indicating a rebound in risk appetite [2][6] - The allocation to Hong Kong stocks continued to rise, reaching 17.01%, while the concentration of holdings decreased for three consecutive quarters, indicating a weakening of the "hugging" effect [2][6] Heavyweight Stocks Analysis - As of the end of Q2 2025, the top five heavy holdings in active equity funds included Ningde Times, Kweichow Moutai, Midea Group, Zijin Mining, and Luxshare Precision [2][3] - The report highlighted a shift in holding structure towards technology growth, with significant increases in positions for stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng [3][26] Market Analysis and Outlook - Fund managers expressed structural optimism, noting that the macroeconomic environment is gradually improving, despite challenges such as weak domestic demand and external uncertainties [4][6] - The "barbell strategy" remains popular, focusing on high-dividend assets and technology growth sectors as key areas for excess returns [4][6]