Hainan Mining(SH:601969) Yin He Zheng Quan·2025-07-25 05:06Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Hainan Mining [7][50]. Core Views - Hainan Mining is focusing on three main sectors: iron ore, oil and gas, and new energy, with a strong resource base and a stable shareholding structure [9][12][50]. - The company has shown resilience in its iron ore business, maintaining high profit margins and expanding its oil and gas operations globally [7][9][38]. - The new energy segment is being developed through lithium mining and hydroxide production, with significant projects underway [7][44]. Financial Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are expected to be 45.18 billion, 54.61 billion, and 62.93 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.13%, 20.86%, and 15.25% [2][51]. - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 7.64 billion, 8.55 billion, and 9.64 billion yuan, with growth rates of 8.12%, 11.97%, and 12.67% [2][51]. - The company's PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 20.20x, 18.04x, and 16.01x, indicating a premium compared to peers [50][52]. Business Layout - Hainan Mining has a stable shareholding structure with Fosun Group as the controlling shareholder, focusing on strategic metal and energy mineral exploration, development, and sales [9][12]. - The company’s revenue composition for 2024 is expected to be 48.41% from oil and gas, 37% from self-extracted and processed iron ore, 10.50% from iron ore trading and processing, and 4.08% from other businesses [7][15]. - The iron ore segment has shown strong performance with a gross margin of 45.77% for self-extracted and processed iron ore, and 10.94% for trading and processing [7][15][37]. Growth Drivers - The iron ore business is the cornerstone of Hainan Mining, leveraging advanced mining technologies to maintain high efficiency and profitability [7][32]. - The oil and gas segment has seen continuous growth, with significant contributions from the Bajiao gas field and Malaysian oil fields [7][38]. - The company is actively investing in lithium mining and hydroxide production, with projects in Africa and plans for significant production targets in the coming years [7][44][45].