EBSCN·2025-07-25 07:54Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months compared to market benchmarks [5]. Core Insights - Stablecoins are anticipated to drive the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB), with significant growth in its global payment share from approximately 2% in December 2015 to an estimated 4% by December 2024, alongside a rise in cross-border payment volume from 12 trillion yuan to 64 trillion yuan [1][2]. - The global cross-border payment market is projected to reach approximately 200 trillion USD by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 6% from 2024 to 2032, indicating substantial potential for RMB payment growth [2][10]. - Third-party payment institutions are expected to benefit from the increasing RMB cross-border payment scale, with the retail cross-border payment market projected to grow from 39.9 trillion USD in 2024 to 64.5 trillion USD by 2032, reflecting a CAGR of 6.2% [3][17]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Stablecoins and RMB Internationalization - Stablecoins are positioned as a key driver for RMB internationalization, leveraging decentralized architecture and offshore circulation capabilities to enhance the RMB's global usage [1][8]. - The RMB's global payment share is expected to rise significantly, supported by upgrades in cross-border clearing systems and the expansion of offshore markets [2][16]. Section 2: Global Cross-Border Payment Market - The global cross-border payment market is on a stable growth trajectory, with transaction volumes projected to reach 194.6 trillion USD by 2024, growing at a CAGR of approximately 9% from 2019 to 2024 [2][10]. - By 2032, the market is expected to expand to 320 trillion USD, with a sustained CAGR of 6.4% [2][10]. Section 3: Opportunities for Third-Party Payment Institutions - The report highlights the significant role of third-party payment institutions in the retail cross-border payment market, where B2B payments dominate with a 79% share [3][17]. - The integration of stablecoins is expected to enhance the global expansion of RMB cross-border payment infrastructure and diversify application scenarios, leading to increased revenue potential for third-party payment companies [3][23]. Section 4: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on specific companies within the A-share market, including Xinguodu, Lakala, and Newland, as well as Hong Kong-listed companies like Lianlian Digital and Yika [3][27].