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汽车行业双周报:汽车行业“反内卷”持续推进-20250725
Dongguan Securities·2025-07-25 09:17

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive industry, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [46]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing a continuous push towards "anti-involution," with recent policies aimed at regulating competition and preventing excessive price wars, which have been prevalent in the passenger car market for the past three years [2][41]. - The report highlights a significant increase in automotive production and sales, with June production reaching 2.794 million units, a year-on-year increase of 11.4%, and sales of 2.904 million units, up 13.8% year-on-year [17][18]. - The report suggests focusing on companies that enhance brand competitiveness through intelligent processes, such as BYD and Changan Automobile, as well as those in the intelligent driving supply chain, including Baolong Technology, Huayang Group, and Bertley [41][44]. Summary by Sections Automotive Industry Trends and Valuation Review - As of July 24, 2025, the Shenwan Automotive Index increased by 4.59% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.12 percentage points, ranking 13th among 31 industries [10][12]. - Year-to-date, the automotive sector has risen by 12.55%, surpassing the CSI 300 Index by 7.11 percentage points, ranking 15th [10][12]. Industry Data Tracking - In June, automotive exports reached 592,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.1% [17][18]. - The dealer inventory warning index stood at 56.6%, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 5.70 percentage points [17][18]. Industry News - The Ministry of Public Security announced plans to strengthen regulations on "intelligent driving" systems, emphasizing the need for responsible driving [27]. - The Ministry of Transport reported that the coverage rate of charging piles in highway service areas has reached 98.4% [29]. Corporate News - Li Auto has successfully adjusted its supplier payment terms to 60 days, enhancing its cash flow management [34]. - BYD celebrated the production of its 13 millionth new energy vehicle, with significant sales growth both domestically and internationally [35]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends monitoring companies that are advancing intelligent processes and enhancing brand competitiveness, specifically BYD and Changan Automobile, as well as those in the intelligent driving supply chain [41][44].