Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-07-26 12:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the computer industry, indicating a "Look Favorably" investment rating for the sector [6][7]. Core Insights - The computer industry is experiencing a low holding ratio, with public fund allocation at 2.6% in Q2 2025, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous quarter, ranking 13th among 30 primary industries [8][9]. - AI remains the main theme for the computer sector throughout 2025, supported by three key factors: the introduction of domestic super-node solutions improving cost-performance, the launch of several foundational large models driving AI applications into commercialization, and continuous innovations across various fields such as stablecoins and 3D printing [9][11]. - The report highlights significant company updates, particularly the official upgrade of iFLYTEK's reasoning large model X1, which enhances capabilities in multiple languages and applications [38][43]. Summary by Sections Investment Allocation - In Q2 2025, the computer industry's public fund allocation decreased to 2.6%, marking a historical low since 2010, with a configuration coefficient of 0.56, down from 0.67 in Q1 2025 [8][9]. - The report suggests increasing positions in Hong Kong-listed computer stocks such as Kingdee and Meitu [6][7]. AI Development - The report identifies three main drivers for the future performance of the computer industry: 1. The launch of domestic super-node solutions that enhance cost-performance and reduce the gap with overseas solutions [9][10]. 2. The introduction of multiple foundational large models that facilitate the commercialization of AI applications [10][11]. 3. Ongoing innovations in various sectors, including stablecoins and 3D printing, which are expected to gain traction [11][12]. Valuation Metrics - As of July 22, 2025, the computer industry’s PE (TTM) stands at 85.4x, placing it in the 93.40% historical percentile, while the PS (TTM) is at 3.4x, in the 48.90% historical percentile [24][25]. - The report notes that current valuation levels exceed those of 2020 and 2023, reflecting optimistic market expectations regarding potential profitability [24][25]. Company Updates - iFLYTEK's reasoning large model X1 has been officially upgraded, showcasing improvements in comprehensive capabilities and multi-language support, with applications in education, healthcare, and enterprise solutions [38][43]. - The report emphasizes the growth trend in AI revenue for iFLYTEK, with significant increases in both consumer and enterprise AI solutions [44]. Market Dynamics - The report discusses the varying rhythms of different technology sectors, influenced by the certainty and traceability of new technologies, with AI applications expected to follow a similar trajectory to cloud computing [36][37]. - The report anticipates a rapid increase in market capitalization for AI-related companies as performance metrics begin to materialize in the latter half of 2025 [37][38].