Group 1 - The report discusses the rationale behind the "bull market atmosphere," emphasizing that time is a friend to the bull market as it supports fundamental improvements and incremental capital inflows [3][4][6] - The midstream manufacturing sector is expected to see supply-demand improvements starting in mid-2026, with a significant reduction in capital expenditures leading to a prolonged window for supply-demand balance [4][6][8] - The report notes that while conditions for residents to fully allocate equity are still lacking, the accumulation of profit effects has accelerated, with the fund-heavy stock index rising by 11% since June 23 [4][6][8] Group 2 - The report highlights that the "high-cut low" market behavior is not just a temporary phase but is supported by the "anti-involution" trend and the catalytic effects of major hydropower projects [8][9][10] - It suggests that the current market is in a transitional phase, seeking to identify the main structural themes of the bull market, with opportunities to explore new structural chances [10][11] - The report identifies non-bank financials and innovative pharmaceuticals as clear mid-term opportunities, while also suggesting a strategic focus on Hong Kong stocks, particularly in internet leaders, new consumption, and high-dividend stocks [10][11]
申万宏源策略一周回顾展望(25/07/21-25/07/26)：再论“牛市氛围”的合理性
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-07-26 14:05