Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Group 2: Report's Core View - This week, most credit spreads in different industries widened, with only a few narrowing. The credit spreads of urban investment bonds widened overall, with the short - end widening more than the long - end. For industrial bonds, the credit spreads of AA+ and above industrial bonds widened to varying degrees, and the short - end of AA industrial bonds also widened. The credit spreads of bank secondary and perpetual bonds widened overall. After a significant adjustment in credit bond yields, the cost - effectiveness of credit bonds has increased from a static coupon perspective. With the rapid decline in black - series futures prices on Friday night, the bond market sentiment may improve, and the space for further adjustment of credit bonds is relatively limited. It is recommended to focus on long - duration urban investment bonds, capital bonds, and insurance sub - debt, especially the long - duration capital bonds of Minsheng, Bohai, and Hengfeng banks, and be optimistic about urban investment dim sum bonds and US dollar bonds [4][43] - Since July 2024, the long - end risk - free interest rate has been in a downward channel, and the yield of ultra - long - term credit bonds has followed suit. Although the proportion of low - valuation transactions and TKN transactions has been rising this year, it has not exceeded last year's high, indicating that the buying sentiment may not have reached its end. With the concentrated listing of science - innovation bond ETFs on July 17, the spreads of medium - and short - term component bonds have been compressed to an extreme level. In the context of the "asset shortage" in the low - interest - rate environment this year, the market may further evolve towards long - duration assets. Investors can still find relatively suitable ultra - long - term credit bond targets in the market [5][49] Group 3: Summary According to the Directory 1. Primary Market 1.1 Net Financing Scale - This week, the net financing of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) was 390.6 billion yuan, an increase of 220.3 billion yuan compared with last week. The total issuance was 631.6 billion yuan, an increase of 233.9 billion yuan, and the total repayment was 241 billion yuan, an increase of 13.6 billion yuan. The net financing of asset - backed securities was 3.09 billion yuan, an increase of 0.91 billion yuan [10] - By product type, the net financing of urban investment bonds was 3.31 billion yuan, an increase of 0.28 billion yuan; that of industrial bonds was 11.06 billion yuan, an increase of 5 billion yuan; and that of financial bonds was 24.69 billion yuan, an increase of 16.74 billion yuan [10] - In terms of the number of issuances and redemptions, the number of urban investment bond issuances increased by 10, and the number of redemptions increased by 33. The number of industrial bond issuances increased by 16, and the number of redemptions decreased by 7. The number of financial bond issuances increased by 7, and the number of redemptions decreased by 3 [12] 1.2 Issuance Cost - The weighted average issuance rates of AA - rated industrial bonds and AA+ - rated financial bonds increased significantly compared with last week, while the issuance rates of other bond types and ratings fluctuated slightly. The issuance rate of AA - rated industrial bonds increased by 51BP, mainly due to bonds such as "25 Nonggu 03" and "25 Tiandiyuan MTN001". The issuance rate of AA+ - rated financial bonds increased by 41BP, mainly due to "25 Donghai 03". The fluctuations of other bonds did not exceed 10BP [18] 2. Secondary Market 2.1 Transaction Situation - In terms of trading volume, the trading volume of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) increased by 178 billion yuan compared with last week. The trading volume of urban investment bonds was 227.2 billion yuan, an increase of 23.5 billion yuan; that of industrial bonds was 361.2 billion yuan, an increase of 3.3 billion yuan; and that of financial bonds was 611.6 billion yuan, an increase of 151.2 billion yuan. The trading volume of asset - backed securities was 1.45 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.22 billion yuan [19] - In terms of turnover rate, the turnover rate of traditional credit bonds increased overall, while that of asset - backed securities decreased. The turnover rate of urban investment bonds was 1.48%, an increase of 0.15 pct; that of industrial bonds was 2.06%, an increase of 0.01 pct; that of financial bonds was 4.12%, an increase of 0.96 pct. The turnover rate of asset - backed securities was 0.42%, a decrease of 0.06 pct [20] 2.2 Yield - The yields of credit bonds with different maturities and ratings increased significantly this week, with an increase range of 7 - 17BP. For example, the yields of AA, AAA -, and AAA+ credit bonds with a maturity of less than 1 year increased by 7BP, 8BP, and 8BP respectively; those with a maturity of 3 - 5 years increased by 10BP, 11BP, and 11BP respectively; and those with a maturity of more than 10 years increased by 17BP, 10BP, and 9BP respectively [24] - Taking AA+ - rated 5 - year bonds of each type as an example, the yields of non - publicly issued industrial bonds and perpetual industrial bonds increased by 11BP and 10BP respectively; the yield of AA+ - rated 5 - year urban investment bonds increased by 10BP; the yields of commercial bank ordinary bonds and secondary capital bonds increased by 7BP and 17BP respectively; and the yield of AA+ - rated 5 - year asset - backed securities increased by 11BP [25] 2.3 Credit Spread - Overall, most credit spreads in different industries widened this week, with only a few narrowing. The credit spreads of AA+ - rated electronics and building materials narrowed by 17BP and 8BP respectively, the credit spread of AA+ - rated light industry manufacturing narrowed by less than 1BP, and the credit spread of AAA - rated leisure services narrowed by 1BP. The credit spreads of other industries and ratings mostly widened, with an increase range of 0 - 7BP [27] 2.3.1 Urban Investment Bonds - By maturity, the credit spreads of urban investment bonds widened overall, with the short - end widening more than the long - end. The 0.5 - 1Y credit spread was 36BP, a widening of 5BP; the 1 - 3Y credit spread was 40BP, a widening of 4BP; the 3 - 5Y credit spread was 58BP, a widening of 1BP; the 5 - 10Y credit spread was 49BP, a widening of less than 1BP; and the credit spread of more than 10Y remained unchanged [32] - By region, most urban investment credit spreads widened, with only a few regions showing a slight compression. For example, the AA - rated credit spreads in Henan and Guizhou compressed by 6BP and 3BP respectively, while the AA - rated credit spread in Yunnan and the AA+ - rated credit spread in Guizhou widened by 12BP and 13BP respectively. The credit spreads in other regions mostly widened by no more than 5BP [33] 2.3.2 Industrial Bonds - The credit spreads of AA+ and above industrial bonds widened to varying degrees this week, and the short - end of AA industrial bonds also widened. For example, the credit spreads of 1Y AAA -, AA+, and AA private - placement industrial bonds widened by 5BP, 5BP, and 3BP respectively, and those of 10Y AAA -, AA+, and AA private - placement industrial bonds compressed by 5BP, 3BP, and less than 1BP respectively. The credit spreads of 1Y AAA -, AA+, and AA perpetual industrial bonds widened by 4BP, 4BP, and 7BP respectively, and those of 10Y widened by 5BP, 3BP, and 1BP respectively [36] 2.3.3 Bank Capital Bonds - The credit spreads of bank secondary and perpetual bonds widened overall this week, with the widening range of different maturities and ratings being 3 - 9BP. The credit spreads of 10Y AAA -, 10Y and 5Y AA+ and 10Y and 5Y AA secondary capital bonds widened by more than 8BP, and the credit spreads of 10Y AAA -, AA+, and AA bank perpetual bonds also widened by more than 8BP. The widening range of other bonds did not exceed 6BP [38] 3. This Week's Bond Market Negative News - Shenzhen Longfor Holdings Co., Ltd. extended the maturity of 5 bond issues; Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone Development Co., Ltd. had the implied ratings of 12 bond issues downgraded; Inner Mongolia Oujing Technology Co., Ltd. was placed on the watchlist, and its "Oujing Convertible Bond" was also placed on the watchlist; Midea Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. had the implied ratings of 20 bond issues downgraded; and Agile Group Co., Ltd. extended the maturity of 3 bond issues [2][40] 4. Investment Recommendations - Pay attention to long - duration urban investment bonds, capital bonds, and insurance sub - debt, especially the long - duration capital bonds of Minsheng, Bohai, and Hengfeng banks, and be optimistic about urban investment dim sum bonds and US dollar bonds [43] - Focus on the allocation and trading opportunities of ultra - long - term credit bonds. For industrial bonds, State Grid has the largest scale of ultra - long - term credit bonds and good trading atmosphere, but the yield level is relatively low. Chengtong Holdings, Sinochem Group, Guangzhou Yuexiu, and Sichuan Energy Development are more cost - effective. For urban investment bonds, although the static coupon levels are generally better than industrial bonds, the range of available bonds is relatively narrow. Pay attention to the opportunities for further compression of the spreads of Shenzhen Metro, Shaanxi Communications Control, Yantai Guofeng, and Yizhuang Investment Development. The cost - effectiveness of the ultra - long - term bank secondary capital bonds of several large state - owned and joint - stock banks is limited [6][50]