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流动性和机构行为跟踪:央行先收后放,资金先紧后松
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-07-27 06:49

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided about the industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report The central bank first withdrew and then injected funds, leading to a situation where the funds were initially tight and then loosened. It is expected that the central bank will continue to support the market. [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog I. Funds - Fund prices and bill rates: The R001 closed at 1.55% (previous value: 1.49%), DR001 at 1.52% (previous value: 1.46%), R007 at 1.69% (previous value: 1.51%), and DR007 at 1.65% (previous value: 1.51%). The 6M national stock bank draft transfer and discount rate closed at 0.72% (previous value: 0.81%). [1] - Central bank's open - market operations: The central bank had a net injection of 1095 billion yuan this week. It continuously withdrew funds in the first four days, with a cumulative net withdrawal of 6923 billion yuan, and then made a large - scale net injection of 8018 billion yuan on Friday. [1] - Bond yields: The 10 - year treasury bond yield increased by 7.24bp in the first four days and 6.72bp for the whole week to 1.73%; the 30 - year treasury bond yield increased by 9.05bp in the first four days and 8.40bp for the whole week to 1.97%. [1][2] II. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - Maturity yields: The 3M, 6M, and 1Y maturity yields of certificates of deposit increased by 4.69bp, 6.16bp, and 5.75bp respectively. The 1Y - 3M term spread widened. [2] - Net financing and issuance: The net financing of certificates of deposit was - 5598 billion yuan this week (previous value: 1444 billion yuan). The issuance interest rates of 1 - year certificates of deposit for state - owned banks, joint - stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks increased. The weighted average issuance term shortened to 7.3M (previous value: 8.3M). [2] III. Institutional Behavior - Government bond issuance and payment: This week, the net issuance of government bonds was 3031 billion yuan, and the net payment was 3472 billion yuan. Next week, the expected net issuance is 4030 billion yuan, and the net payment is 2947 billion yuan. [3] - Repurchase trading volume and leverage ratio: The pledged repurchase trading volume first rose to 8.0 trillion and then fell to 7.1 trillion, with an average daily volume of 7.70 trillion yuan (previous value: 7.24 trillion yuan). The inter - bank market leverage ratio first rose to 109.10% and then fell to 108.39%, with an average daily ratio of 108.85% (previous value: 108.65%). [3]