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价格法修订草案公布,近期碳酸锂价格显著反弹
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-07-27 06:51

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electric equipment sector [6] Core Views - The global photovoltaic installation forecast for 2025 has been revised upwards to 570-630 GW, indicating potential demand exceeding expectations in the second half of the year [14] - The recent draft amendment to the Price Law aims to promote healthy industry development and return to normal profit levels, emphasizing product quality and service [14] - Key investment opportunities are identified in three areas: supply-side reform leading to price increases, long-term growth opportunities from new technologies, and industrialization opportunities from perovskite GW-level layouts [14] Summary by Sections New Energy Generation - Photovoltaics: The global installation forecast for 2025 has been revised to 570-630 GW, with the potential for higher-than-expected demand in the second half of the year. The Price Law amendment focuses on clarifying standards for unfair pricing behavior, promoting healthy competition and quality [14] - Wind Power & Grid: The Hainan CZ7 project, a 1500 MW offshore wind project, is set to begin construction by September 30, 2025. The State Grid's fixed asset investment exceeded 270 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.7% [15][16] - Hydrogen & Energy Storage: A 10 million ton green methanol project in Gansu has been announced with a total investment of 1.05 billion yuan. The report recommends focusing on leading equipment manufacturers and hydrogen compression companies [20][28] New Energy Vehicles - Recent fluctuations in lithium carbonate prices are attributed to resource disruptions and anti-involution policy expectations. The price reached 80,500 yuan per ton, with potential impacts on global production due to strict scrutiny of non-compliant mining operations [29][30][31] Energy Storage - The average bid price for energy storage systems in July was 0.4985 yuan/Wh, with a range of 0.5635 to 1.6912 yuan/Wh for EPC bids. The report suggests focusing on domestic and international large-scale storage opportunities [23][28] Market Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector saw a 3.0% increase from July 21 to July 25, 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 7.8% [10] - Specific sub-sectors such as photovoltaic equipment, wind power equipment, batteries, and grid equipment also experienced positive growth during this period [12][13]