Soochow Securities·2025-07-27 09:18Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Views - The non-bank financial sector has shown significant performance, with the securities and insurance sub-sectors outperforming the CSI 300 index recently. The securities sector rose by 4.90%, while the insurance sector increased by 1.81% [10][11] - The report highlights a substantial increase in trading volume in the securities market, with July's average daily trading volume reaching 18,191 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 139.92% [16][21] - The insurance sector is benefiting from a reduction in predetermined interest rates, leading to improved liability costs. The second quarter saw a strong growth in life insurance premiums, with a year-on-year increase of 15.2% [25][27] - The multi-financial sector is entering a stable transformation phase, with trust assets growing but profits declining significantly [31][32] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance of Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sectors - In the last five trading days, the non-bank financial sector overall rose by 3.65%, outperforming the CSI 300 index which increased by 1.69% [10] - Year-to-date, the insurance sector has shown the best performance with a 12.07% increase, followed by the multi-financial sector at 9.79% and the securities sector at 5.05% [11] 2. Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sector Insights 2.1 Securities - Trading volume has significantly increased, with a year-on-year rise of 139.92% in July [16] - The average margin balance reached 19,420 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.34% [16] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities industry is projected at 1.4x for 2025 [21] 2.2 Insurance - The predetermined interest rate has been lowered to 1.99%, triggering a reduction in actual rates for various insurance products [22][23] - Life insurance premiums for the first half of 2025 reached 29,606 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [25] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently between 0.61-0.94 times the expected present value (P/EV) for 2025, indicating a historical low [28] 2.3 Multi-Financial - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach 29.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 23.58%, but profits fell by 45.5% [31] - The futures market experienced a trading volume of 740 million contracts in June, with a year-on-year increase of 28.91% [33] 3. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The report ranks the insurance sector as the most favorable, followed by securities and other multi-financial services [27] - Recommended companies include China Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, and Tonghuashun [27]