转债周度专题：北交所转债怎么看？-20250727

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - North - Exchange convertible bonds have certain special features in terms of clause settings and transfer transactions, with relatively low overall issuance scale. In the current policy environment encouraging mergers and acquisitions, private placement convertible bonds may become an important tool for North - Exchange listed companies to introduce strategic investors and be widely used as a payment instrument for M&A. With the slowdown of new supply of public convertible bonds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, continuous attention to North - Exchange related investment opportunities is recommended [2][13]. - Considering the impact of refinancing policies, the subsequent issuance pressure of convertible bonds is expected to be low. As the stock market recovers, the return of incremental funds in convertible bonds drives the valuation to a relatively high historical level, and attention should be paid to the risk of valuation correction. In terms of clauses, continue to focus on the space for lower - revision games, be vigilant against call risks, and appropriately focus on short - term game opportunities of near - maturity convertible bonds. Industries to focus on include popular themes, domestic demand - oriented sectors, central state - owned enterprises under the Chinese characteristic valuation system, and the military industry [16]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1.转债周度专题与展望 3.1.1. 北交所转债怎么看？ - As of July 25, there were 5 convertible bond proposals on the North - Exchange. The current proposals are all private placement convertible bonds with an issuance scale within 150 million yuan. North - Exchange private placement convertible bonds usually do not have a "downward revision clause", suspend transfer 10 trading days before the end of the conversion period, have a clear 18 - month conversion restriction requirement, and a non - call period of at least 6 months [1][10]. - Taking the private placement convertible bonds of Youji Co., Ltd. as an example, it has obvious features in the initial conversion price, conditional call clause, non - downward revision clause, and put period. Other clauses are relatively conventional, with an issuance term of 6 years and a put trigger threshold of 70% [11][13]. 3.1.2. 周度回顾与市场展望 - This week, the three major stock indices fluctuated upward, with active trading and obvious rotation of hot sectors. The A - share market valuation is recovering. Measures such as large - scale equipment renewal and consumer goods replacement are expected to boost domestic demand, while export growth may decline. A weak resonance between the domestic economic fundamentals and the capital market is expected to gradually start [14][15]. - In terms of convertible bonds, considering the impact of refinancing policies, the subsequent issuance pressure is expected to be low. As the stock market recovers, the return of incremental funds drives the valuation to a relatively high historical level, and attention should be paid to the risk of valuation correction. Industries to focus on include popular themes, domestic demand - oriented sectors, central state - owned enterprises under the Chinese characteristic valuation system, and the military industry [16]. 3.2. 转债市场周度跟踪 3.2.1. 权益市场收涨，建材煤炭钢铁领涨 - This week, the major equity market indices rose. The market style was more inclined to small - cap value stocks. Among the 27 Shenwan industry indices, 27 rose and 4 fell. Building materials, coal, and steel industries led the market [19][22]. 3.2.2. 转债市场大涨，百元溢价率中位数抬升 - This week, the convertible bond market rose. The average daily trading volume increased. Most industries in the convertible bond market rose, with coal, building materials, and petroleum and petrochemical industries leading the gains. Only bank convertible bonds fell. Most individual bonds rose. In terms of price, the number of absolute low - price convertible bonds decreased, and the median price increased significantly. The weighted conversion value of the whole market increased, and the premium rate decreased [24][31][36]. 3.2.3. 不同类型转债高频跟踪 3.2.3.1. 分类估值变化 - This week, the valuations of equity - biased and balanced convertible bonds increased significantly, with a higher increase in balanced convertible bonds. The valuations of convertible bonds with a parity of 0 - 80 yuan and above 130 yuan decreased, while those of other parity convertible bonds increased. The valuations of most convertible bonds of each rating decreased, and the valuations of convertible bonds in each scale category decreased [51]. 3.2.3.2. 市场指数表现 - This week, convertible bonds of all ratings rose. Since 2023, high - rating AAA convertible bonds have shown stable performance, while low - rating convertible bonds have shown weaker anti - decline attributes and greater rebound strength. Convertible bonds of all scales rose this week [62][64]. 3.3. 转债供给与条款跟踪 3.3.1. 本周一级预案发行 - Two new convertible bonds were listed this week, and one was issued but not yet listed. The first - day closing prices of Libo Convertible Bonds and Guanghe Convertible Bonds were 129.46 yuan and 129.80 yuan respectively, with reasonable pricing. The scale of the to - be - listed Bo 25 Convertible Bonds is 2.802 billion yuan. There were 9 first - level approvals this week [69]. 3.3.2. 下修&赎回条款 - This week, 9 convertible bonds were expected to trigger downward revision, 9 announced no downward revision, 2 proposed downward revision, and 1 announced the downward - revision result. Thirteen convertible bonds were expected to trigger call, 4 announced no call, and 4 announced early call. As of the end of this week, 3 convertible bonds were still in the put declaration period, and 19 were in the company's capital reduction and settlement declaration period [73][77][79].