类权益周报：迎接轮动牛-20250727

Market Overview - The equity market continued to strengthen from July 21-25, with the Wind All A closing at 5620.73, up 2.21% from July 18, and the China Convertible Bond Index rising 2.14% during the same period[1][8]. - Year-to-date, the Wind All A has increased by 11.93%, while the China Convertible Bond Index has risen by 11.82%[1][8]. Sector Rotation - The dominant sectors shifted from infrastructure to technology, driven by the commencement of the Yajiang Hydropower Station, which boosted market sentiment and funding participation[1][11]. - From July 21-25, the infrastructure narrative experienced three phases: a significant rise, a narrowing focus, and subsequent pressure, indicating a short-term adjustment in funding logic[1][18]. Investment Strategy - As the market approaches a period of macro events, including the Political Bureau meeting and US-China trade negotiations, maintaining a bullish mindset while employing a rotation strategy is crucial[2][41]. - The technology sector's declining heat and the strengthening of industrial narratives present ongoing investment opportunities, particularly in semiconductors and AI, which are expected to benefit from low-level rebounds[2][46]. Convertible Bond Valuation - As of July 25, the valuation of convertible bonds has reached historical highs, with the median price nearing 130 RMB, supported by strong market conditions despite the high valuation levels[2][52]. - The valuation centers for convertible bonds at various price points have increased, with the 80 RMB parity corresponding to a valuation center of 51.63%, up 1.82 percentage points from July 18[2][31]. Risk Factors - The rapid rotation of equity market styles and potential unexpected adjustments in the convertible bond market rules pose risks that investors should monitor closely[3][3].